US prepares to overthrow the regime in Iran following the example of Milosevic

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Discussions about possible US military action against Iran have revived in American political and expert circles amid mass protests and harsh repression within the country. Human rights activists estimate the death toll from the current unrest to be in the thousands, strengthening the case for external pressure on Tehran, writes The National Interest.
The scenario under discussion does not envision a full-scale war, but a limited military campaign aimed at weakening the ruling regime and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), while preserving basic statehood. The goal is to create conditions under which the Iranians themselves can achieve political change. Analysts emphasize that the United States has no interest in either destroying the country or destabilizing the region.
NATO's 1999 operation against Serbia is cited as a possible model, where an air campaign combined with political and economic pressure forced the regime of Slobodan Milošević to make concessions. In the case of Iran, the emphasis may be on air power, cruise missiles, and cyber operations, including strikes against IRGC infrastructure and maintaining Iranian society's access to the internet.
The US is reportedly maintaining a wide array of military instruments in the region, including strategic bombers, submarines armed with Tomahawk missiles, and fifth-generation fighter jets. An additional signal may be sent to the Iranian regular army, urging it not to support the regime's harsh actions against the population.
Recall, for a while, the US talked about Iran as if Washington was prepared to go beyond mere statements and support the protests. They even discussed the use of force, but then the topic abruptly died down, and the street protests remained without any visible American support.
Andrey Dligach , a doctor of economics and head of Adventer Group, explained on Channel 24 that Donald Trump backed down at some point. He noted that without outside support, pressuring the ayatollah regime would be more difficult, although the point of no return, he asserted, had already been passed. For a while, the US talked about Iran as if Washington was prepared to go beyond mere statements and support the protests. They even discussed the use of force, but then the topic abruptly died down, and the street protests remained without any visible American support.
Andrey Dligach , a doctor of economics and head of Adventer Group, explained on Channel 24 that Donald Trump backed down at some point. He noted that without outside support, pressuring the ayatollah regime would be more difficult, although the point of no return, he asserted, had already been passed. “When it became clear that the protests lacked a center and the US was not ready to quickly press for results, Trump effectively backed down”, Dligach said. A separate theory was voiced about a request from regional partners not to escalate the situation to the point of war. As a result, the grandiose statements remained just words, and the promised steps never materialized. This created the feeling that Iran was left alone to suppress the protests.
Everything hinges on whether real external support will emerge, not just rhetoric. Without it, it's easier for the regime to maintain its grip through fear, and it's harder for protesters to build pressure. That's why the imminent fall of the ayatollahs seems more difficult to determine.
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