Reform’s Polling Decline Explained

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Nigel Farage's Reform UK has held a pretty significant lead in Westminster polls. But with two election losses, this lead appears to be shrinking. In this video, we're taking a look at Reform's polling over time and why it appears to be collapsing.

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SOURCES

Unheard Iran’s War is Turning Nigel Farage into a Neocon
https://unherd.com/newsroom/iran-war-...

The Week in Polls Three Risks for Reform Hiding in the Data
https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p...

IPSOS Mori Concern About Defence Doubles to Become as Big an Issue for Britain as the NHS and Inflation
https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/concern-a...

Wikipedia Opinion Polling for the Next Election
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion...

YouGov Tactical Landscape February 2026
https://yougov.com/en-gb/articles/541...

YouGov Which Parties Do Britons See as Pro or Anti Trump?
https://yougov.com/en-gb/articles/542...

Sam Freedman Why Have Reform’s Poll Numbers Declined?
https://samf.substack.com/p/why-have-...

YouGov The Most Important Issue Facing the Country
https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/the...