This Paradox Splits Smart People 50/50

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A huge thank you to Dr. Arif Ahmed, Dr. Adam Elga, Dr. Kenny Easwaran, Dr. Peter Slezak, Dr. David Wolpert, Dr. Scott Aaronson & Dr. Michael Huemer for their invaluable expertise and contributions to this video on Newcomb’s Paradox.

The causal expected utility calculation was based on a post by Professor Huemer here - https://ve42.co/Huemer

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0:00 What is Newcomb’s Paradox?
3:24 Pick 1 Box!
5:24 Pick Both!
6:38 What is decision theory?
11:27 What does Newcomb’s Paradox say about free will?
13:25 What does it mean to be rational?
16:49 Mutually Assured Destruction
20:02 Precommitment Is The Ultimate Strategy

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References can be found here - https://ve42.co/NewcombRefs

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Writers: Sulli Yost & Casper Mebius
Producer & Director: Sulli Yost
Editor: Jack Saxon
Additional Editing: Peter Nelson
Camera Operators: Lukas Guderjahn, Danijela Čavlović, Casper Mebius, Gregor Čavlović & Derek Muller
Presenters: Casper Mebius, Gregor Čavlović, Henry van Dyck & Derek Muller
Animators: Emma Wright, Andrew Neet, Alex Drakoulis, Domonkos Józsa & Fabio Albertelli
Assistant Editor: James Stuart
Researcher: Darius Garewal & Gabe Strong
Thumbnail Designers: Abdullah Rabah, Ren Hurley & Ben Powell
Production Team: Jess Bishop-Laggett, Matthew Cavanagh, Anna Milkovich & Josh Pitt
Executive Producers: Casper Mebius & Derek Muller

Additional video/photos supplied by Getty Images & Storyblocks
Music from Epidemic Sound