Europe is LOST, GOING CRAZY, Resorting to Military Force /Patrik Baab & Lt Col Daniel Davis

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Patrik Baab argues that Western leaders—especially in NATO—are sacrificing their credibility by continuing to support Ukraine in a war they privately know cannot be won. He questions why European governments would risk their reputations and public trust for outcomes that primarily benefit large financial and corporate interests (like BlackRock), while Ukraine bears the human cost.

He interprets statements by Mark Rutte as empty promises: claims that Western countries will eventually deploy troops after a deal is reached are not believed, even by the audience listening to him. The speaker argues that any limited Western troop deployment (tens of thousands) would be quickly overwhelmed by Russia’s much larger forces, making such promises unrealistic and dangerous. As a result, Ukrainian representatives allegedly see these statements as deceptive and disengage from them.

The speaker further claims that Rutte has a past conflict of interest, citing a 2013 gas exploration deal involving Ukraine and Shell, and suggests current policies are influenced by past miscalculations. He argues Ukrainians are being asked to pay with their lives for Western political and economic mistakes.

More broadly, the argument is that European leaders underestimated Russia’s military, industrial, and economic capacity. Now facing failure, they are unable to admit defeat to their voters, because doing so would expose the financial costs and political responsibility. Instead, they double down on the war to preserve their own political survival.

According to the speaker, this fear of voters has led to censorship, sanctions against dissenting voices, and erosion of democratic norms across Europe, particularly in Germany and the UK. He claims freedom of speech is being curtailed under the guise of security and sanctions law, targeting critics of the war.

The discussion concludes that Western Europe is struggling to adapt to a shifting global order—from U.S.-led unipolarity to a multipolar world—and that political elites, unable to accept decline or find a new role, are resorting to militarization, propaganda, and repression. The speaker argues that real change would require replacing this political class and restoring democratic freedoms before Europe can find a way out of the crisis.