CPI Report & Oil Prices: Will Inflation Fear Sink the Market?

Описание: Just when cooling oil prices promised a bit of relief to the market, the US CPI report threatens to revive inflation fears.

0:00 Markets wait for the next shoe to drop
0:32 S&P 500 stuck: war-driven gap lower, then total indecision
1:21 Crude oil pinned near $75 as traders wait on Hormuz headlines
2:05 Trump vows safe passage through Hormuz; why oil still won’t fall
2:50 South Korea’s market meltdown shows the inflation fear spreading
3:38 Gold stalls while oil surges: this is about inflation, not just war
4:38 Bonds sell off, yields rise: markets price fewer Fed cuts
5:20 Dollar strength returns as higher yields support the greenback
6:15 Oil-to-CPI lag: why inflation pressure may hit in about a month
7:08 Bloomberg scenarios: what $80–$90 oil could mean for inflation
8:15 Why oil was rising even before the war started
9:14 Iran, Venezuela, and Russian shadow tankers: China supply squeeze
10:23 Even without war escalation, China may face structurally higher oil costs
11:20 ISM manufacturing: strongest output in years, but prices jump
12:32 Fed problem: hot prices + softer labor = policy trap
13:18 Markets still want cuts: 44 bps this year, 19 bps next year
14:18 Why the Fed is still less dovish than markets want
15:06 S&P 500 hasn’t gone anywhere since Powell’s October warning
16:00 Why markets keep begging for cuts: policy uncertainty and no safety net
16:58 Trade-policy volatility remains extreme despite lower headline panic
17:52 AI boom depends on frictionless global trade—and that’s the problem
18:45 Supreme Court tariff shock adds a new layer of uncertainty
19:42 The real question: is the Fed even able to rescue markets now?
20:30 If jobs data stays firm, rate-cut hopes could shrink again
21:20 Why weak jobs might actually be bullish for stocks here
22:05 Positioning update: gold straddle, dollar straddle, still short Bitcoin
23:02 Still positioned for higher yields in the belly of the curve
23:34 Risk-off equity trades remain on: IWM, QQQ, SPY put spreads
24:13 Why oil stays a long even if the war ended today
25:18 Final takeaway: this is China supply risk and inflation, not just headlines
25:55 Wrap-up

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