The 10 Macro Signals That Still Support a Bull Market w/ Ryan Detrick

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In this episode of Milk Road Macro, Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick explains why the bull market may still be intact despite weakness in tech and risk assets. He breaks down key macro signals including strong market breadth, resilient earnings, stable labor data, massive AI CapEx, firm credit markets, persistent inflation near 3%, and global leadership from industrials, commodities, Europe, and emerging markets. Ryan also discusses Federal Reserve policy, rate cuts, geopolitical risks, volatility, and what could drive stocks higher, or trigger a correction in 2026.

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🎙 GUEST INFO 🎙
Ryan Detrick: https://x.com/RyanDetrick

⏱ TIME POINTS ⏱
00:00 – Intro
01:49 – "A Tale of Two Markets"
03:04 – Market Secret: Breadth Leads Price
04:22 – Status on Energy Stocks, Gold, Industrials
05:30 – Industrial are Leading: 26% Earnings Growth Shock
06:59 – Amazon’s $200B CapEx: Will GDP Help the Stock?
08:09 – The $700B CapEx Wave: Stimulus or Risk Asset Drag?
09:49 – Carson Group Outlook: "Riding the Wave"
10:36 – 18% Tax Refunds: The Underreported Fiscal Tailwinds
11:44 – The Tech Short Interest Surge
13:36 – Buying the Software Dip: A Nine-Month Rebound Play
14:18 – Record Profits vs. Pandemic-Level Confidence
16:33 – Labor Market Myths: Initial Claims Stability
17:45 – AI Job Displacement
18:58 – Sponsor: Bridge
19:32 – Sponsor: Summ
20:23 – Diversifying Your Diversifiers
22:10 – 5-to-7 Year Windows for Gold and Stocks
24:04 – The Global Handoff: Europe and Germany Breaking Out
26:07 – Testing Kevin Warsh: New Fed Chair Market Reactions
28:04 – "3% World": Sticky Inflation isn't the End of the World
29:49 – Market's Geopolitical Concern: Iran
32:11 – What would Invalidate the Bullish Thesis?
33:33 – Warning Signs: Staples and Low Volatility Leadership
36:07 – Ryan's Structural Optimism on Bitcoin
38:35 – Wrap-Up

#macro #marketanalysis #stockmarket

📃 Disclaimer 📃
The information presented in this video is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered as financial, legal, or tax advice. The views and opinions expressed by the speakers, are their own and do not constitute professional advice. The speakers are not licensed financial advisors or registered investment advisors. Investing in cryptocurrencies carries significant risks, including the potential for substantial losses. The speakers do not guarantee any specific outcome or profit. Viewers should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.