Identifying Patterns in Complex and Fragmented Conflict Landscapes: Papua New Guinea

Описание: Many countries are experiencing increasingly complex and fragmented conflicts. Poor documentation and over-simplification of community grievances along ethnic, tribal, clan, or identity lines often contribute to a sense of randomness and unpredictability in violence. Understanding patterns of violence can not only contribute to early warning systems that identify emerging threats before they escalate, but help local leaders identify more targeted and effective intervention points. Analytical methods play a pivotal role in comprehending patterns of conflict, yet determining the most suitable approach is essential. This panel explores analytical techniques, data collection strategies, replicability of analysis, and the dangers of extrapolating findings across different groups, looking at the case of Papua New Guinea. While Papua New Guinea’s highly localized, enduring, and fragmented fighting has posed particular challenges to data collection and analysis, panelists will discuss innovative analytic methodologies that are being used to clarify our understanding of violence.

Organizer: US Department of State, Bureau of Conflict and Stabilization Operations

Speakers
Laura Sorica, Research Manager, Armed Conflict and Location Event Data's (ACLED) East Asia Pacific desk
William Kipongi, Research Officer, National Security and International Relations Research Program at the Papua New Guinea (PNG) National Research Institute
Dr. Miranda Forsyth, Professor, School of Regulation and Global Governance, College of Asia and Pacific, Australian National University
Dr. Luke Condra, Associate Professor, Public and International Affairs Program Director, University of Pittsburgh

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This session was part of the Data for Peace 2023: Using Data to Foster Peace Conference over October 16-20, 2023, a five-day hybrid event with national and international experts in the data for peacebuilding and prevention ecosystem to facilitate peer-to-peer exchange and leverage emerging technologies and data science methods to tackle the growing challenges across the humanitarian-development-peace and climate nexus globally.

This event was hosted by the NYU Center on International Cooperation and supported by the Complex Risk Analytics Fund (CRAF’d) and its partners, with the in-person segment of the event hosted at Google's NYC office.

About the conference: https://cic.nyu.edu/events/data-for-p...

More about the Data for Peace program: https://cic.nyu.edu/program/preventio...