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Fiscal & Monetary Madness To Blow Up Bonds, Stocks & Housing In 2026? | Michael Pento

Автор: Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money®

Загружено: 2025-12-15

Просмотров: 34282

Описание: WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com

When today's guest was on this channel earlier this year, he warned that a 'triumvirate" of three massive asset price bubbles -- in credit, real estate and stocks -- threatened to take down our fragile economy and dash the retirement hopes for millions.

Since then, the bubbles have only expanded.

Will they expand further -- or pop -- in 2026?

To find out, we have the great good fortune to welcome money manager Michael Pento back to the program.

#bonds #stocks #housingmarket

0:00 - Asset Bubbles Threat
2:09 - Bubbles Expanding or Popping in 2026
2:49 - IDC Model Defensive Shift on November 6
5:03 - Financial Conditions Tightening
5:38 - Reverse Repo Facility at Zero
6:03 - Positive Real Fed Funds Rate
6:58 - Bank Reserves Declining
7:24 - Yen Carry Trade Erosion
8:07 - AI Credit Default Swaps Widening
8:30 - Move Index Spiking
9:20 - Reduced Equity Exposure to 15% Net Long
10:14 - No Rate Cut Expected in December
11:19 - Williams' Rate Cut Statement
12:06 - Powell's $40 Billion QE Program
13:09 - Lid on Financial Deterioration
13:33 - Two Salient Risks for 2026
14:23 - Fiscal Dominance in Policy
15:24 - Reserve Balances Slide
16:07 - Reverse Repo Facility Details
16:52 - Japanese Benchmark Yield Rising
18:05 - Fiscal and Monetary Madness
19:17 - Yen Carry Trade Size Estimates
20:52 - End of Yen Carry Trade
21:58 - Model Monitoring for Allocation Changes
22:43 - Three Dangers for 2026
23:48 - AI Credit Bubble Burst Probability
25:13 - Highest Risk: Fiscal/Monetary Madness
27:03 - Bottom 80% Economic Injury
27:25 - Wealth Gap Narrowing by Top Decline
28:05 - Argument for Active Management
28:57 - 2008 Crisis vs Current Differences
30:17 - Why Care About Bubbles
31:03 - Allocation by Sector Shifts
32:47 - Pentoport Website and Services
34:34 - FOMC Pushing Off Reckoning
35:43 - Credit Spreads and Conditions Monitoring
36:37 - Reasons for Different Outcomes Next Time
37:37 - Buffett Indicator Negative Returns
38:57 - Personal House Price Drop Example
40:07 - Florida House Down 20%
41:23 - Bank Distress from Sun Belt Loans
42:00 - 10-Year Yield Not Declining
43:13 - Bond Vigilantes Awakening
44:02 - Learning More About Michael Pento
45:02 - Professional Financial Advisor Help
46:26 - Junk Silver Offer
47:26 - Closing Remarks
_____________________________________________

Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.

We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.

We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.

IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.

Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.

A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.

Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.

Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

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Fiscal & Monetary Madness To Blow Up Bonds, Stocks & Housing In 2026? | Michael Pento

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