War की सूरत में क्या फिर से होगी Iran में तख्तापलट की कोशिश? जानिए Saurabh Shahi से
Автор: TheRedMike
Загружено: 2026-02-15
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Standing in the heart of the Iranian capital, Saurabh Shahi reporting for The Red Mike captures a city pulsing with a tense, contradictory energy—a volatile cocktail of high-stakes diplomacy and aggressive military posturing. While backchannel dialogues between Iran and the U.S. continue to flicker, fueled by "leaks" from Turkish mediators suggesting a narrow path toward a nuclear compromise, the atmosphere Shahi encounters on the ground tells a much more precarious story.
The Nuclear Tightrope: Negotiators are eyeing a "minimal enrichment" framework—enough for cancer research, but far below weapons-grade thresholds.
Military Signaling: The sudden deployment of a second U.S. carrier group has many in Tehran convinced that diplomatic talks are merely a smokescreen for an imminent strike.
The Internal Shield: Fearing that an external war would provide the perfect cover for a domestic coup, the Iranian state is aggressively sealing its "internal cracks" to prevent foreign-backed regime change.
Nuclear Diplomacy and the 'Time-Buying' Trap
[00:00:00 - 00:02:45]
Shahi opens by breaking down the nuances of the ongoing dialogue. Turkey’s Foreign Minister, Hakan Fidan, suggests the U.S. might allow minimal uranium enrichment for medical isotopes if Iran drops its 60% enrichment levels to 20%. However, Iran remains adamant: the talks are strictly about the nuclear file—no ballistic missiles or regional allies are on the table. There is a deep-seated fear that the West is simply stalling.
Saurabh Shahi: "ईरान को यह लगता है कि दूसरा जहाजी बेड़ा भेजा गया है सिर्फ इस काम के लिए कि हम पे हमला होगा और डोनाल्ड ट्रंप यह बातचीत इसलिए कर रहे हैं कि वो टाइम बाय कर रहे हैं।" [00:02:33]
The 'Rial Collapse' and Infiltrated Protests
[00:04:21 - 00:06:38]
Reporting from the Tajrish Bazaar, Shahi explains how economic warfare is being used to trigger internal unrest. A sudden collapse of the Iranian Rial led to protests by local shopkeepers (Bazaris). While the grievances were genuine, Shahi reports that foreign intelligence agencies and exiled groups tried to "infiltrate" these protests to turn them into a full-scale regime-change operation.
Saurabh Shahi: "जानबूझ के अमेरिका ने एक डॉलर की क्राइसिस ट्रिगर की... मकसद ये था कि इन प्रोटेस्ट को इनफिल्ट्रेट करके और इसको एक लार्जर स्वरूप दिया जाए ताकि रिजीम चेंज ऑपरेशन यहां पे किया जा सके।" [00:05:21]
Strategic Targets: The Minority Regions
[00:06:38 - 00:07:42]
The U.S. strategy, Shahi notes, isn't necessarily a full-scale invasion—which is nearly impossible given Iran's vast geography—but rather seizing "Regional Control Centers." These are areas with significant minority populations, such as Iranian Kurdistan, Arab-majority Khuzestan, and Sistan-Baluchistan.
The Martyrs and the National Spirit
[00:08:21 - 00:10:38]
At the Imamzadeh Saleh shrine, Shahi points to the graves of Iranian nuclear scientists. Despite the threat of war, the local sentiment remains defiant. He observes a "Rally 'round the Flag" effect: even those who are critical of the current Islamic regime appear to be lining up to support the country against foreign aggression.
Saurabh Shahi: "लोगों के साथ जब तक सपोर्ट ना हो तब तक कोई हुकूमत लड़ नहीं सकती और ये चीज यहां जनता को पता है... वो जंग से डरते नहीं हैं और शहादत शिया इस्लाम का एक नगीना है।" [00:09:35]
The Crackdown on 'Internal Backstabbers'
[00:10:57 - 00:13:40]
To prevent a coup during a potential war, the Iranian state has preemptively arrested several "Radical Reformists." Shahi reports that intelligence allegedly leaked a plan where these groups intended to call for the Supreme Leader's resignation during a period of unrest.
Saurabh Shahi: "ईरान ये नहीं चाहता कि जब उसकी लड़ाई अमेरिका से हो तो वो एक हाथ उसकी बंधी रहे या वो बार-बार अपने सोल्जर्स के पीछे अपने कंधों के पीछे देखता रहे कि कौन पीछे से उनको घात करने वाला है।" [00:12:20]
#war #iran #saurabhshahi #theredmike #geopolitics #groundreport
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