Oxford Mathematician explains Exponential Growth for COVID-19 (Coronavirus)
Автор: Tom Rocks Maths
Загружено: 2020-03-21
Просмотров: 150688
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University of Oxford Mathematician Dr Tom Crawford explains exponential growth in the context of an epidemic such as that for COVID-19/Coronavirus. Beginning with one primary infection we see how the number of cases increases dramatically over a period of only 30 days to more than one thousand. All sources are referenced below.
The value of the reproductive number R0 = 3 is taken from current World Health Organisation estimates. Please see here for more information: https://academic.oup.com/jtm/article/...
The data for the UK population is from 2018 and is sourced from Statista here: https://www.statista.com/statistics/2...
The data for the COVID-19/Coronavirus death rate is from the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention. Please see here for more information: https://www.businessinsider.com/coron...
Produced by Dr Tom Crawford at the University of Oxford.
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