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What If We Missed The Bitcoin Bottom?

Автор: Aaron Dishner aka Moonin Papa

Загружено: 2026-07-18

Просмотров: 9243

Описание: Bitcoin's accumulation plan gets revisited this week, addressing the flood of "but what about" questions that followed last week's video. Two key targets stay in focus - $49,000 and $38,555 - with a seven-part DCA framework laid out for scaling into a position without going all-in. The core question tackled here: what happens if $58,000 already marked the bottom and those lower targets never get hit?

A four-year cycle framework anchors the discussion, built around Bitcoin topping out in October 2025 and a projected bottom roughly 365 days later. Historical case studies from the 2022 and 2018 bear markets get broken down bar-by-bar, showing that bottoms were typically followed by a 60-to-100-day grace period before recovery began - evidence that there's no need to chase price to avoid missing the bottom.

A price-based alternative is also mapped out using Fibonacci retracement levels, with $69,000 flagged as a major wall of resistance across three separate measurements. Spot buying is favored over leverage due to fee drag over multi-year holds, and the two biggest viewer questions from last week's video - using time versus price as a trigger - get a full recap heading into the next update.

CHAPTER MARKERS
00:00 Revisiting the accumulation plan and viewer questions
02:17 What if $58K was already the bottom?
04:42 Case study: time-based DCA in the 2022 bear market
06:50 Time-based final DCA orders
08:58 Timing the final order before the 365-day bottom
11:00 2018 bottom and the recovery grace period
14:01 Switching from time-based to price-based triggers
17:01 Fibonacci resistance and the $69K wall
19:03 Broader Crypto Accumulation and Better Traders Club
21:25 Viewer Questions: What If Bitcoin Already Bottomed?

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*Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, and none of the information presented in this video should be considered financial advice. All content shared is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions.

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What If We Missed The Bitcoin Bottom?

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