OYSTER ANALYTICS: The Prospect Model That Doesn’t Talk Like a Textbook

Описание: Maxfield Lane and Owen Riley from Down on the Farm pull up to Locked On A’s and basically do what most prospect coverage refuses to do: make it make sense. They break down their project Oyster Analytics—a model built to translate messy minor league data into plain English: what are the odds a prospect becomes a contributor, a regular, or a star? Along the way, we hit the big-picture stuff fans actually argue about—WAR and why defense can hijack it, why park-adjusted hitting stats matter, and why wRC+ (a stat that estimates run production and adjusts for league/park) is one of the cleanest ways to compare hitters across different environments.

Then it gets fun: the guys go prospect-by-prospect on the A’s system and don’t do the lazy “everybody’s a future All-Star” thing. Leo De Vries gets the full love letter—age, level, and how rare it is to climb while improving. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer profiles more like a high-contact super-utility weapon unless the power shows up. Henry Bolte is pure chaos: elite base-stealing efficiency, loud exit velocities, but too many strikeouts and too many ground balls. And Junior Perez? The AAA numbers pop, but the question is whether it’s real growth or just the PCL turning hitters into superheroes. If you want prospect talk that’s sharp, honest, and doesn’t sound like it was written by a calculator, this is the one.

Locked On A's, Athletics, A's, A's prospects, A's farm system, A's minor leagues, A's player development, Leo De Vries, Leo Devries, Jacob Wilson, Henry Bolte, Joshua Kuroda-Grauer, Kuroda-Grauer, Junior Perez, Maxfield Lane, Owen Riley, Down on the Farm, Oyster Analytics, prospect rankings, MLB prospects, minor league baseball, MiLB, prospect analysis, player comps, player comparisons, prospect projections, analytics, sabermetrics, WAR, WRC+, OPS+, spring training, Rule 5 eligible, stolen bases, exit velocity, strikeouts, launch angle, ground ball rate, A's 2026, Las Vegas baseball, Sacramento baseball

You can find Down on the Farm on X ‪@downonthefarm12‬. Check them out on downonthefarm.substack.com. Follow Oyster Analytics @oysteranalytics or check out Oyster Analytics at https://oysteranalytics.shinyapps.io/...

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