If You Own Silver, You Have A Few Days Left For This Price Shock - Peter Krauth & Michael Oliver
Автор: Money Sense
Загружено: 2026-01-24
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If You Own Silver, You Have A Few Days Left For This Price Shock - Peter Krauth & Michael Oliver
Bank of America has stunned the market by projecting that silver could surge into a range of $125 to $309, a target derived from the historical gold-silver ratio. This forecast validates the view that the metal is severely undervalued, yet some experts believe even these triple-digit targets are conservative. Market technicians warn that we are approaching a "Thunderbolt tantrum move"—a vertical repricing event that could drive silver to between $300 and $500 per ounce this year. Unlike a slow grind, this move is expected to realize most of its gains by mid-year, driven by a violent spread breakout.
Michael Oliver, founder of Momentum Structural Analysis, and silver analyst Peter Krauth predict that as the ratio snaps back, the speed of the ascent will likely leave hesitant investors behind. They argue that this "tantrum" will fundamentally reset the market's valuation in a matter of months, making current prices a fleeting opportunity.
Silver’s refusal to make a deep correction signals a market dominated by smart money aggressively buying every dip. This strength is underpinned by a "perfect storm" of geopolitical shifts, including China's export restrictions and the West's sudden designation of silver as a strategic critical mineral.
Strategic market analysis emphasizes that this fundamental squeeze is intensifying rapidly. With China controlling roughly 70% of global refining and halting exports, the U.S.—which imports 43% of its consumption—faces a severe bottleneck. Simultaneously, major institutions like Bank of America are setting targets as high as $309, validating technical models that see the gold-silver ratio's breakout signaling a violent catch-up trade driven by shortages.
Market history suggests that assets suppressed for decades eventually overcompensate in a "Thunderbolt tantrum." Technical indicators confirm the spread relationship has definitively shifted, targeting a massive vertical move to $300 or even $500 this year as silver finally breaks its 50-year containment.
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