Turing Award Winner: „I Created the Missing Link for Conscious AI” | Judea Pearl

Описание: Turing Award–winning pioneer Judea Pearl explains why causality is the missing link to conscious AI, why today’s LLMs are “clever” rather than understanding, and why—without new world-models—humans could become the “pets” of a more powerful digital species. We also unpack his take on free will (as an illusion we still need), consciousness (a blueprint of our own software), and what breakthroughs are closest: automated science and truly personalised medicine.

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⏱️ Chapters
00:00 – Cold open: “We’ll be the pets”
00:42 – Who is Judea Pearl & why causality matters
01:12 – AI built on statistics vs real understanding
03:54 – From Bayes nets to cause→effect thinking
06:24 – Will machines be conscious? Individuality & experience
11:12 – Free will: the illusion we need to live by
17:36 – What is consciousness? A blueprint of our software
20:12 – Free will vs consciousness: key difference
21:00 – How to build causal machines: the 3-level causal ladder
23:06 – LLMs: “statistics on steroids” trained on causal humans
25:12 – What makes us human vs today’s AI
27:36 – How children learn; why robots still struggle
29:12 – Are Big Tech ignoring causality?
29:24 – AGI ahead of us; the “pets” scenario & existential risk
31:54 – Can we control it? Regulation, inevitability, realism
34:00 – Next 5 years: towards understanding free will
35:12 – Beyond the Turing test: clever vs intelligent
36:06 – Why AI feels like a black box
38:24 – Jobs & mass unemployment?
39:06 – The one change he’d make to LLM research
40:36 – Modeling the world without perfect physics
41:36 – Near-term wins: automated science & personalised medicine
43:00 – The Turing Award phone call
44:18 – Pearl’s most important paper: the counterfactual algorithm
45:24 – Closing thoughts