Iran ने क्यों और कहां छुपा रखा है Nuclear Material? Saurabh Shahi explains.
Автор: TheRedMike
Загружено: 2026-02-17
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This ground report by Saurabh Shahi from Isfahan, Iran, provides a rare look into the state of Iran's nuclear program following military strikes by the U.S. and Israel. Shahi challenges the Western narrative that Iran's capabilities were "obliterated," pointing to the resumption of high-level talks in Geneva as proof that the program remains a potent bargaining chip.
Immediate Context & Key Highlights:
• The Conflict: Despite President Donald Trump’s claims of total destruction, the program is very much alive, shifting from physical infrastructure to "strategic ambiguity."
• The Assets: Iran is estimated to hold over 440 kg of 60% enriched uranium, cleverly hidden across the country.
• The Stakes: The report explores whether Iran has already crossed the "90% enrichment" threshold for a nuclear weapon.
The Myth of "Obliteration"
[00:00:58 - 00:03:00]
Shahi stands near the Natanz site, a place the West claimed was neutralized. He points out the logical fallacy: if the program were truly destroyed, why is the U.S. back at the negotiating table in Geneva? The "destruction" was largely a media narrative; in reality, Iran’s core nuclear material was moved before the bunker-buster bombs could hit their marks.
"जब यहां पे हमला हुआ था तो डोनल्ड ट्रंप ने ये कहा था कि उन्होंने इस जगह को नेस्तनाबूद कर दिया है... लेकिन अब वो फिर से नेगोशिएट कर रहे हैं। जाहिर है कि उस समय जो अमेरिका ने क्लेम की... वो बात सच नहीं थी।" [01:22]
Strategic Ambiguity and the Hidden Uranium
[00:03:00 - 00:07:20]
The report dives into the "shell game" Iran is playing with its nuclear fuel. Before the strikes, Iran likely evacuated its highly enriched uranium. This material is now reportedly dissolved into thousands of liters of Uranium Hexafluoride (UF6) gas and stored in high-pressure vessels.
"ये जो स्टोरेज की गई है ये स्कैटर्ड है पूरे ईरान में। किसी को नहीं पता कि वो कहां है... ताकि ये जो स्नैच एंड गैब ऑपरेशन होता है ना... वो सिचुएशन ही ना रहने दे।" [06:36]
The Technical Threshold – 60% vs. 90%
[00:07:20 - 00:11:15]
Shahi explains the science behind the tension. While 60% enrichment isn't "weapons-grade" (which is 90%), the jump from 60 to 90 is merely a political decision, not a scientific hurdle. Because IAEA inspectors were expelled, the world doesn't actually know if Iran has already hit that 90% mark.
"ईरान को ये मौका भी दिया कि अब आपको पता ही नहीं है कि वो इनरचमेंट 90% तक हुई या नहीं हुई... ये स्ट्रेटेजिक एंबिगिटी है।" [08:55]
The Fatwa and the Military Dilemma
[00:11:15 - 00:14:00]
A fascinating cultural layer is added: the religious Fatwa by Iran's leadership against weapons of mass destruction. Shahi mentions that while the leadership views nuclear bombs as "un-Islamic," there is a visible restlessness within the military ranks who feel their hands are tied by this decree.
"हमारी जो बात यहां सोर्सेस से होती है... उसमें एक व्याकुलता सी दिखती है। उनको ये लगता है कि उनके हाथ जो है वो इस फतवा से बांध दिए गए हैं।" [13:35]
Delivery Systems and the Red Line
[00:14:00 - 00:17:07]
Iran is testing missiles like the Khorramshahr-4, which can carry nuclear warheads. In Geneva, Iran refuses to discuss its missile program, fearing they will end up like Libya or Syria—defenceless after giving up their teeth. They might sacrifice long-range missiles that reach the U.S. as a "compromise," but they won't touch the missiles aimed at regional rivals like Israel.
"अगर मिसाइल इसके जद में आ गया... तो ईरान की वही हैसियत रह जाएगी जो हैसियत सीरिया की... या जो लीबिया की हैसियत थी।" [15:43]
Conclusion
Iran has transitioned from a program of concrete and steel—which can be bombed—to a program of "ambiguity," where the threat lies in what the West doesn't know. As talks resume, Iran’s leverage isn't just its remaining infrastructure, but the 440kg of "missing" uranium and a missile fleet that ensures any attack comes with a heavy price.
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#iran #nuclearprogram #saurabhshahi #theredmike #natanz #fordow #geopolitics #israeliranconflict
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