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What a Commodity Supercycle Would Mean for Australia - Greg Cassidy | Milford

Автор: Basis Points

Загружено: 2026-02-17

Просмотров: 2367

Описание: Commodity markets are back in focus.

Gold has more than doubled in recent years. Lithium has flipped from surplus to deficit and iron ore continues to quietly underpin the Australian economy.

So is this the start of something bigger, like a commodity super-cycle

In this episode, we’re joined by Greg Cassidy, Senior Analyst at Milford, to unpack the forces driving the global resource rally and what it means for adviser portfolios.

We cover:
The three macro forces behind the surge: deglobalisation, decarbonisation and AI.
The outlook for LNG.
Why iron ore still matters most for Australia’s budget and equity index.
Greg’s key takeaway for advisers: why “you should own resources” and how to think about active vs passive exposure in a volatile sector.

———

00:00 Super Cycle Teaser
00:37 Commodity Super Cycle Setup
02:46 Three Drivers of the Rally
08:42 Supply Constraints Emerging
10:35 Australia in US–China Split
12:41 Global Decarbonisation Leaders
14:21 Gold, Dollar and Real Assets
16:46 Commodities to Watch Now
19:15 Copper’s Structural Deficit
20:50 Lithium Volatility Explained
23:11 LNG Supply and Demand
26:12 Australia’s Key Export Exposures
31:01 Portfolio Positioning for Advisers
35:25 Avoiding Resource Investing Mistakes

Before you invest, be sure to read the Milford Funds Product Disclosure Statements and Target Market Determinations at https://milfordasset.com.au/documents...

You can read the full disclaimer at https:/milfordasset.com.au

Then include this below out AFSL disclaimer -
Equity Trustees Limited (“Equity Trustees”) (ABN 46 004 031 298), AFSL 240975, is the Responsible Entity for the Milford Australian Absolute Growth Fund, Milford Corporate Bond Plus Fund, Milford Australian Active 100 Fund, and Milford Dynamic Small Companies Fund. Before you invest, be sure to read the Milford Funds Product Disclosure Statements and Target Market Determinations at https://milfordasset.com.au/documents...

———

CPD Points: This episode has been accredited for CPD points by the Financial Advice Association of Australia (FAAA).

To claim your points, complete the CPD Quiz on the episode page and we'll send you your certificate (https://equitymates.com/episode/what-...)

———

Want more Basis Points?

Sign up to the Basis Points Newsletter here: https://basispoints.beehiiv.com/subsc...

Follow Basis Points on LinkedIn:   / basis-points-by-equity-mates  

Have a question? Send us a message on our website (https://equitymates.com/get-in-touch/)

———

Basis Points would not be possible without the support of our three launch partners:
Orbis - Invest differently - https://www.orbis.com/au/investor/home
Milford Asset Management - Invested in the outcome - https://milfordasset.com.au/
CBOE - Local market, global opportunities - https://www.cboe.com/au/equities/

Thank you to all three partners for helping us keep all of our content free and accessible.

———

Basis Points is a product of Equity Mates Media.

This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes. Any advice is general advice only, and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances, needs or objectives. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs and read the relevant Product Disclosure Statement. And if you are unsure, please speak to a financial professional.

Equity Mates Media operates under Australian Financial Services Licence 540697.

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