Silver at $83 Here, $95 in Shanghai — What’s Behind the Price Gap? What It Could Mean Next! OG John
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Silver at $83 Here, $95 in Shanghai — What’s Behind the Price Gap? What It Could Mean Next! OG John
Silver is $83 in New York right now. And $95 in Shanghai. Simultaneously. The same ounce. A $12 gap — 13.25% premium — against a 6-month average premium of just 7.12%. The maximum recorded premium in the last 6 months hit 34.33%. And the gap is widening, not closing.
Here is why arbitrage is failing to close it. China controls two-thirds of the world's fresh silver bar output. On January 1, 2026, China reduced silver export permits from hundreds of companies to 44 — each transaction requiring 2-4 weeks of bureaucratic delay. SHFE inventory has fallen to its lowest level since 2016. China produces 80% of the world's solar panels, each requiring 20 grams of silver. Industrial buyers are paying $12 above Western paper because they need the physical metal — not a futures contract, not a warehouse receipt, not a cash-settled derivative. The actual bars. And the barriers to moving metal from $83 New York to $95 Shanghai are structural, regulatory, and compounding.
Now the $1.3 billion move. Jane Street — the world's most profitable algorithmic trading firm — just became the largest holder of the SLV silver ETF, adding a record 20.6 million shares in a single quarter. A 500-fold increase from 41,000 shares the prior quarter. Surpassing BlackRock itself, which added zero. Morgan Stanley sold 3.7 million shares. Over 87% of Jane Street's $662 billion portfolio is in options — the firm profits by creating and capitalizing on volatility. When the world's most sophisticated volatility firm takes a $1.3 billion dominant position in the world's largest physically-backed silver ETF — that is not routine liquidity provision. That is a structural signal.
Swiss banks quietly rotated $4.1 billion from gold into physical silver in Q4 2025. No headlines. Just capital moving with intent.
$12 gap. $1.3B move. The smart money already knows.
Verify everything. Invest with logic, not hype. AG John OG — the original.
Disclaimer
Nothing in this video or description constitutes financial or investment advice. Precious metals carry significant risk including total loss of principal. Always consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
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