Europe Faces Japan-Style Stagnation - Ray Dalio's Prediction

Описание: Ray Dalio compares the long-term debt cycle in Europe and the U.S., concluding that Europe is far closer to Japan’s 1980s–1990s stagnation than America.

Key Insights:
Monetary Exhaustion: Europe is “just about out of gas” in monetary policy, with little room for further easing.
Structural Weakness: Countries like Italy face deep structural problems and fragile finances.
Competitiveness Gap: Europe is not competitive at its current exchange rate, which drives stagnation and rising credit spreads.
Political Fallout: Higher borrowing costs and weaker competitiveness create a dangerous mix of political and economic instability.

Dalio’s takeaway:
Europe is entering a Japan-like era of stagnation and debt drag—investors should position accordingly.


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