Using Market Data to Weather Uncertainty

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In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Alan Gula back to the show. Alan is an editor and member of the Investment Committee for The Total Portfolio and Stansberry's Forever Portfolio, as well as a senior analyst for Stansberry Research's flagship newsletter, Stansberry's Investment Advisory.

Alan kicks things off by sharing three concerns he has for the current market rally. He looks at the market's credit spreads, as he uses that as a sentiment indicator for the broader market. Then he gives an in-depth examination of the high bids of stocks by looking at the high beta (the measure of market risk) relative to the S&P 500 Index.

Next, Alan discusses gold's history during secular bull markets, highlighting how the precious metal has had impressive spikes but serious drawdowns along the way. As such, he states that investors should be cautious during the current bull run and trim any risk. He then reflects upon The Total Portfolio outperforming its benchmark and the framework that contributed to its success. And he gives his take on "whether AI is in a bubble or not."

Finally, Alan expresses why you shouldn't focus so much on previous earnings over the long term for rapidly growing companies. Instead, he says it's better to examine their free-cash-flow yields. He also warns investors to be mindful of what to invest in to protect themselves during a bear market. Companies that provide opportunities during bull markets might be poor performers during drawdowns, so it's wise to plan accordingly when diversifying your portfolio. He illustrates this with one sector.

0:00 Using credit spreads as a sentiment indicator; The current high bids of stocks
17:39 Gold's historic peaks and drawdowns; The success of The Total Portfolio; Alan on AI
39:09 Focus on free-cash-flow yields; Be mindful of what's protecting your portfolio
52:02 Dan and Corey's final thoughts