The Primacy of Doubt: Prof. Tim Palmer on Chaos & Quantum Physics

Описание: In this episode, Prof Palmer discusses his background and journey into weather forecasting, outlining the development of physics-based models and commenting on the rise of AI approaches in the field. He explains why unpredictability is a fundamental feature of chaotic systems, the origins of ensemble forecasting, and the key variables that shape weather prediction. The conversation also touches on how uncertainty affects policy decisions through the “primacy of doubt,” as well as themes from classical and quantum physics, attempts to unify quantum mechanics with gravitation, Hilbert space, historical examples of chaos, and the role of stubbornness and intuition in scientific work.




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Timestamps:

00:00 Intro
02:57 Prof Palmer’s Background
06:07 His Journey in Weather Forecasting
13:43 Physics-Based Models in Weather Forecasting
18:58 AI Models in Weather Forecasting
22:04 Unpredictability in Weather Forecasting
25:01 Origins of Ensemble Forecasting
31:34 Variables That Affect Weather Forecasting
34:12 How Unpredictability in Weather Forecasting Affects Policy Decisions
40:47 The Primacy of Doubt
48:36 Quantum and Classical Physics
54:30 Attempts to Unify Quantum Physics and Gravitation
1:25:12 Hilbert’s Space
1:34:32 Historical Example of the Exhibition of Chaos
1:38:45 Prof Palmer on Stubbornness and Intuition
1:40:50 Ending