Defense Policy Changes in the Indo-Pacific in Response to Rising Tensions over Taiwan

Описание: The Global Taiwan Institute (GTI) is pleased to invite you to a seminar discussion titled “Defense Policy Changes in the Indo-Pacific in Response to Rising Tensions over Taiwan.”

The year 2022 saw a dramatic escalation in the tensions surrounding Taiwan. This was observed most prominently in the provocative military exercises that People’s Republic of China (PRC) forces conducted in August 2022 in the immediate wake of a visit to Taiwan by then-US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi. Taiwan also experienced aerial incursions over its outlying islands, as well as elevated levels of military aviation activity near Taiwan’s airspace and into Taiwan’s declared air defense identification zone (ADIZ). These actions have been accompanied by increasingly aggressive rhetorical and textual assertions of sovereignty over Taiwan made by leaders and propaganda outlets of the PRC’s ruling Chinese Communist Party (CCP)—which, if anything, became even more forceful and rigid throughout 2022.

While this escalation of tensions has received considerable attention in the United States, less attention has been paid to the significant effect that these developments have had on national security and military planning within Taiwan itself, as well as in other countries in the Indo-Pacific region. In Taiwan, these tensions have spurred policymakers and defense officials to take noteworthy steps, including an increase in the production of domestic armaments and an extension of conscripted military service time. In Japan, concerns over the PRC’s aggressive behavior have prompted the release of a watershed National Security Strategy document in late 2022, accompanied by an announced dramatic increase in defense spending. And in the Philippines, the government has concluded a new agreement with the United States for the use of military bases, with the new presidential administration of Ferdinand Marcos Jr. issuing clear statements of concern about the prospects for a conflict over Taiwan.

This seminar will provide discussion of some of the major defense policy responses being made by states in the region—as well as some of the efforts being made by the US military itself as it repositions itself to more effectively deter potential PRC military aggression against Taiwan.

About the Speakers:

Lieutenant General Wallace "Chip" Gregson (USMC, ret.) served previously from 2009-2011 as the assistant secretary of defense, Asian and Pacific Security Affairs. From 2003 to 2005, he was Commanding General of Marine Corps Forces Pacific and Marine Corps Forces Central Command, where he led and managed over 70,000 US Marine Corps and US Navy personnel in the Middle East and the Asia-Pacific region. From 2001 to 2003 he served as Commanding General of the III Marine Expeditionary Force in Japan, and from 1998 to 2000 he was Director of Asia-Pacific Policy in the Office of the Secretary of Defense. Lt. Gen. Gregson is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations; the U.S. Naval Institute; and the Marine Corps Association. He is a Trustee of the Marine Corps University Foundation. He holds a bachelor’s degree from the U.S. Naval Academy, and master’s degrees in Strategic Planning from the Naval War College, and International Relations from Salve Regina College.

Dr. Naoko Aoki is an associate political scientist at the RAND Corporation. She specializes in East Asian security issues, and has written about Japanese foreign and security policies, the North Korean nuclear problem, American alliances in Asia, and nuclear dynamics in the region. Prior to joining RAND, Aoki was a Non-Resident Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council, where she conducted research on security matters in the Indo-Pacific region. Her professional experience includes a nuclear security fellowship with the House of Representatives. Dr. Aoki was formerly a journalist with Japan’s Kyodo News, reporting on the Japanese government from Tokyo before serving as a Beijing correspondent. She holds a Ph.D. in Policy Studies from the University of Maryland, College Park, an M.A. in International Relations and International Economics from the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), and a B.A. in English from Sophia University in Tokyo, Japan.

Renato Cruz De Castro is a distinguished university professor in the International Studies Department, De La Salle University, Manila, and holds the Dr. Aurelio Calderon Chair in Philippines-American Relations. As a member of the Board of Trustees of the Albert Del Rosario Institute of Strategic and International Studies (ADRI), he writes monthly opinion columns for the Philippine Star and Business World.