Peace talks will take a long time

Описание: Ukraine and Russia will probably be pushed into negotiations by Donald Trump, but the military conditions for a deal are not met. Therefore, there is little room for optimism. Some countries might use the negotiations as an excuse to reduce or delay military assistance to Ukraine, and that can weaken Ukraine's position.

I also draw some parallels to the Korean War, where ceasefire negotiations took several years.

0:00 Intro
0:32 Peace talks do not mean peace
1:16 Book plug
1:40 Peace talks during the Korean War
4:21 Negotiations can lead to less support
5:12 An agreement is unlikely now
6:10 Why Russia think they are winning
7:02 Why Ukraine think they are winning
7:52 Trump's assumptions about a deal

The mentioned article:
Small State Naval Diplomacy in the Korean War : Denmark and the MS Jutlandia
By Anders Puck Nielsen
https://en.kims.or.kr/issubrief/kims-...

The mentioned book:
Coalition Navies during the Korean War
https://www.routledge.com/Coalition-N...

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