Putin's Shadow Fleet Hit the Drone Trap (Black Sea Killbox)

Описание: A ship didn't sink in the Black Sea — permission did.

Ukraine's sea drones are changing naval warfare in a way missiles can't: they don't just hit hulls, they hit insurance policies, shipping routes, port access, and the invisible paperwork chain that keeps Putin's oil moving.

In this breakdown, we map how Vladimir Putin's "shadow fleet" runs into a new kind of killbox — where one drone strike (or even a near-miss) can spike war-risk premiums, delay payments, freeze schedules, and force costly naval escorts that turn "profit" into "survival." Meanwhile Volodymyr Zelensky calls it a drone revolution; Moscow calls it piracy. But the real battlefield happens inside underwriting offices and shipping control rooms.

You'll learn three mechanisms behind "permission warfare": how kill-chains break when threats are everywhere, how insurance mathematics kill ships faster than missiles, and why defending costs more than attacking. Then we map Putin's three countermoves and the signals over the next 7-14 days that reveal whether this becomes the new normal for maritime conflict.

The Black Sea became a laboratory for economic naval warfare. The results will reshape how militaries think about cost-exchange mathematics in contested waters.

Educational analysis based on publicly available reporting. Not affiliated with any government or institution. No operational advice.

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