Warming weather and clear skies in Houston - Forecast for Thursday Jan 27, 2026

Описание: Suzanne provided a detailed weather forecast for Houston, focusing on tomorrow's conditions. She explained her reasoning for adjusting the wind speeds and temperatures based on various weather models. She discussed the presence of high cirrus clouds and their potential impact on nighttime temperatures. Suzanne highlighted that the forecast was accurate the previous day and offered final temperature and wind predictions, noting that users might want to adjust the forecast slightly due to the high cirrus clouds.

00:00 Tomorrow's Weather
Suzanne provided a detailed weather forecast for the following day, predicting temperatures of 58 degrees with 9 knots of wind and no precipitation. She noted that her forecast was based on the USL model, which had accurately predicted yesterday's conditions. She also discussed the predictions from other models, including the National Blended Models, NAM, and GFS, which all forecasted similar temperatures and clear skies with low wind speeds.


01:36 Weather Forecast Model Agreement
Suzanne discussed the weather forecast, noting that wind directions and speeds were consistently lower than 5 knots, which led her to adjust her forecast. She observed general agreement among models regarding wind speeds and explained the tight spread in dew point and temperature predictions, with most models forecasting temperatures between 46 and 50 degrees. Suzanne highlighted that the highest model spread occurred in the afternoon, attributing this to variations in initialization rather than forecast duration.

03:05 Arctic Cold Air Mass Update
Suzanne discussed the weather forecast for the next few days, noting that Houston would be bypassed by a cold air mass from the Arctic. She explained that the relative humidity in the atmosphere would be low until around 200-250 millibars, where it would approach 100% along with high cirrus clouds. The 800 and 850 millibar air temperatures were warming, with the 850 millibar layer showing significant warming as the cold air mass shifted south and east.

04:05
Houston Vorticity and Jet Dynamics
Suzanne discussed the presence of vorticity over Houston, which could support high cloud development due to the right entrance region of a jet streak. She noted faster wind speeds at the 250 millibar level, indicating potential lifting for high clouds, though surface moisture was limited. The surface analysis showed high-pressure systems shifting eastward, with Suzanne noting they would linger until the following evening.

05:10 Houston Weather Analysis Overview
Suzanne discussed the weather patterns in Houston, explaining that warm air from the Gulf and Mexico is causing east and south winds. She analyzed various weather maps, including the 500 millibar map, visible satellite image, and water vapor image, noting the presence of high cirrus clouds from the southwest and the absence of low clouds over Houston. She also mentioned the current temperature of 47 degrees, relative humidity of 63%, and east winds at 9 knots, which she found surprising given the calm winds earlier in the day.

06:59 Anomalous High-Pressure Weather Patterns
Suzanne discussed the current weather patterns, noting that winds have shifted from north to east and southeast due to a high-pressure system moving off to the southeast. She explained that snowpack is widespread across the country but skips Houston, and the winds tomorrow will be mild, coming from the east, southeast, and southwest. Suzanne mentioned that the high-pressure system is somewhat anomalous, being about two standard deviations above normal in terms of likelihood. She concluded by stating that the forecast for today and tomorrow is accurate, but advised adding a degree or two for temperature due to high cirrus clouds.