Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos - AFC West Showdown - Live Stream Colors Radio Broadcast

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The Los Angeles Chargers travel to Empower Field at Mile High for a Week 18 AFC West finale against the Denver Broncos, a matchup with playoff implications muted by Denver's division-clinching 13-3 record and LA's secured 11-5 wild card status. With Justin Herbert resting to preserve health for postseason action, backup Trey Lance takes the snaps amid a slew of Chargers questionable players, while the Broncos tune up for a potential home playoff game. Odds install Denver as 11.5-12.5 point favorites with a total around 39.5-40.5, underscoring the talent and motivation gap.
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Season Context
Chargers finished strong at 11-5, clinching a wild card but jockeying for seeding amid losses to top AFC contenders. Broncos surged to 13-3, capturing the AFC West crown with a statement win over Kansas City, boasting the league's third-stingiest defense at 19.3 PPG allowed. Earlier this season, LA edged Denver 23-20 in Week 3 at SoFi Stadium, but historical trends favor the Broncos at home (10-2 SU in last 12 vs. Chargers).
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Injury Impacts
Chargers face a depleted roster: QB Justin Herbert (rest), RB Kimani Vidal (questionable), CB Benjamin St-Juste (questionable), G Jamaree Salyer (questionable), S RJ Mickens (questionable), and WR Derius Davis (questionable). Broncos monitor LB Dre Greenlaw (hamstring, questionable), WR Pat Bryant (concussion, questionable), TE Nate Adkins (knee, questionable), with 11 on IR including C Luke Wattenberg; DE Jonathon Franklin-Myers nears return from hip issue. LA's depth gets tested severely without stars.
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Chargers Offense Breakdown
Herbert amassed 3,727 passing yards and elite efficiency before sitting, supported by RB Vidal's 631 rush yards (4.2 YPC) and WR Ladd McConkey's 789 receiving yards on 66 catches. Quentin Johnston added 637 yards with big-play ability, while Keenan Allen hit 724 yards in a resurgent year. Trey Lance, in limited 2025 action, posted 90 passing yards, zero TDs, and a dismal 20.6 QBR, relying on mobility but prone to errors against elite defenses. Expect conservative play-calling from Greg Roman, leaning on Gus Edwards (backup RB) for 3-4 yard gains.
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Broncos Offense Analysis
Denver's aerial attack ranks 12th at 236.9 YPG with 6.3 YPA and only 9 INTs in 16 games, fueling 23.9 PPG (15th). Courtland Sutton leads with consistent targets, complemented by a ground game averaging 118.9 YPG (18th) via Jaleel McLaughlin and Audric Estime. QB Bo Nix has thrived in Sean Payton's system, exploiting mismatches; against backups, this unit projects 27+ points easily. Balance and red-zone efficiency (55% TD rate) shine versus LA's reserve secondary.
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Defensive Keys
Chargers' front seven, paced by LB Daiyan Henley's 102 tackles, has trended UNDER (5-2 last 7 games) but yields ground to mobile QBs. DE Khalil Mack and DT Otito Ogbonnia disrupt, yet without full health, they struggle holding dual-threat backs. Broncos' D-line logged 64 sacks (top-tier), surrendering minimal rush yards and forcing turnovers; expect feast on Lance's inexperience. Secondary with Pat Surtain II neutralizes remaining WRs like McConkey.
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Head-to-Head History
All-time, Broncos lead 72-57, including 10 of last 12 home wins over LA. Last 10 meetings: Denver 6-4, averaging 27.4 PPG; Chargers 4-2 ATS in last 6 but 0-5 ATS as big dogs. Broncos 5-0 SU in last 5 overall, thriving in low-scoring divisional tilts (UNDER 7-3 last 10 H2H).
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Betting Trends
Chargers 9-0 ATS vs. AFC West but 1-4 ATS last 5 road; Broncos 0-5 ATS as home favorites but 10-2 SU recently. Public leans Denver -11.5 (65% bets), with models projecting Broncos -13 equivalent. UNDER hits in 6 of LA's last 8 road games.
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Game Script Prediction
Broncos dictate early with Nix-to-Sutton strikes, building 17-3 halftime lead as Lance misfires (2 INTs projected). Denver's run D stuffs Vidal/Edwards (80 team yards), while LA backups tire late. Final: Broncos 28, Chargers 10—Denver covers, UNDER cashes, setting up Broncos as playoff home favorites.
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