Austin Real Estate Market Update: Rates Spike + Inventory Down 16% | March 2, 2026

Описание: Austin inventory dropped 16.6% year-over-year, the Activity Index just broke a two-year pattern, and a surprise inflation report pushed mortgage rates higher — all in one morning. Here's the full weekly data breakdown for the Austin real estate market.

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This weThis week's update covers:
• ISM Manufacturing Prices spiked to 70.5 — highest since July 2022 — and what that means for mortgage rates
• Why 5 days of bond market gains were erased in under an hour
• 1,039 new listings vs. 281 pendings — a strong absorption start to March
• Austin City inventory down 16.6% YoY; Marble Falls down 42%
• Activity Index hits a new 2026 high, breaking the February 25 peak pattern seen the past two years
• Why the $1M–$1.1M price range is outperforming every other segment in Austin right now
• Median sold price down less than 1% YoY — what stabilization actually looks like after a 22% correction

Whether you're a buyer, seller, investor, or agent in the Austin area, this is a data-first breakdown — no headlines, no hype, just the numbers that matter.

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Timestamps
0:00:00 Bond Market Update & Inflation Shock
0:00:54 ISM Manufacturing Prices Spike Explained
0:02:46 Fed Rate Dilemma & Employment Week Preview
0:06:10 Oil Prices & Geopolitical Risk Impact
0:08:02 New Listing to Pending Ratio Update
0:12:37 281 Pendings – Strong Start to March
0:16:24 February Market Comparison to 2025
0:20:08 Austin Inventory & Price Drop Trends
0:23:51 Why Pendings Aren’t Dropping at Month End
0:26:38 Activity Index Breaks February Trend
0:29:13 Inventory by City – Austin Down 16.6%
0:33:48 Pricing Update & Market Correction Status
0:35:40 Top 25% Price Segment Surging
0:38:05 Absorption Rate & Open House Strategy
0:43:30 What Could Derail the Market?
0:50:39 19 Zip Codes Hit 12-Month Activity High
0:52:31 Final Thoughts & March Outlook