Biden-Trump rematch would be close, with RFK Jr a threat to Biden: Reuters/Ipsos poll

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The presidential debate between US President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden was broadcast and recorded at a tavern in San Diego, California, on October 22, 2020. WASHINGTON, Dec 12 - An upcoming election rematch next year between U.S. President Joe Biden and his predecessor Donald Trump will be closely fought, a new Ipsos poll finds, with both candidates saddled with deep vulnerabilities that could cost them the house. Biden, an 81-year-old Democrat, remains troubled by voters' doubts strength of economy and concerns about security of U.S.-Mexico border and concerns crime. Republican former President Trump, 77, is facing concerns of his own, including four criminal trials related to his attempts to compromise the 2020 presidential election and classified documents. A conviction before Nov. 5, 2024, would give him significant support in the election, according to the poll. The poll showed Trump with a marginal 2-point lead in the head-to-head matchup, 38% to 36%, with 26% of respondents saying they were unsure or might vote for someone else. The poll, conducted online Dec. 5-11, surveyed 4,411 U.S. adults nationwide and had a confidence interval, a measure of sensitivity, of about 2 percentage points. The poll showed Trump leading the Republican nomination by a wide margin. The state electoral college system used to elect presidents and deep-seated partisan divisions mean that voters in only a handful of states will play a decisive role in the outcome of the election. In the seven states where the election was closest in 2020—Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina and Michigan—Biden had a 4-point lead among Americans who said they were confident they had voted. Overall, the poll showed deep disinterest among many voters in a potential Biden-trump rematch. Six in 10 people surveyed said they were dissatisfied with America's two-party system and wanted a third election. RFK Jr Factor Anti-vaccine activist Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who launched an independent bid. The survey showed that Kennedy, who is part of a storied political family, could receive more support from Biden than Trump. Trump's lead gave respondents a 5-point advantage nationally when given the option to vote for Kennedy. While 16% of those polled chose Kennedy when given the option, Trump had 36% support compared to 31% for Biden. Trump also led by five points in the seven swing states where Kennedy was the option. Kennedy, whose uncle John F. Kennedy served as president and whose father, Robert, was a senator and attorney general, faces a challenge to gather enough signatures to get on the ballot in all 50 states. Last week, a Super PAC fundraising committee supporting Kennedy's bid , said it would take up to $15 million to get Kennedy on the ballot in 10 states as an initial measure. Third-party candidates influenced the outcome of U.S. elections even without winning. In 1992, a strong showing by Ross Perot helped Democrats pu