Why Ole Miss Beats Texas | Kewan Lacy, Keys, Vegas & Score Prediction

Описание: Everyone has Texas as the more talented team and the favorite. That's the wrong frame. Ole Miss's worst day this season, 28 points at Florida, is more than Texas has scored against any Power Four team: 24, 20, 24 and 24. The Rebels average 37.5 points and 444 yards, and ran for 453 yards in their last two games. Texas has to play its best game. Ole Miss has to play its normal one.

Texas tomorrow. Eight days to Auburn.

Steven Willis makes the case for why Ole Miss wins in Austin, lays out three keys and the players to watch, then reads a FanDuel line that hasn't budged since Colin Simmons went to doubtful, and says what would change his number.

⏱️ CHAPTERS
0:00 Ole Miss's floor vs. Texas's ceiling
1:09 Why Ole Miss wins: 28 is the floor, 24 is the ceiling
2:40 The run game: 63, 128, 196, 257
3:21 Texas's offense against Power Four defenses
4:05 The passing game and the defense's numbers
5:27 What Colin Simmons' absence really changes
13:45 Key 1: tempo in a loud stadium
14:10 Key 2: get Texas into third and long
15:06 Key 3: Kewan Lacy in the red zone
15:55 Players to watch: Ferrelli, Thomas and Butler
16:34 Braxton, Cull and the explosive plays
17:03 Will Echoles: the box score is the floor
17:33 Caleb Cunningham
18:03 Who's out, and Wingo and Coleman
23:09 Reading the line: Texas -3.5, total 54.5
24:16 Why 3.5 matters and what the market implies
24:57 The games-played page and the Ole Miss line
25:43 Texas starts fast: survive 20 minutes, win the middle 8
26:20 Arch Manning, KJ Lacey and the Missouri plan
26:55 Putting it together: my score

📌 THREE THINGS
1. Per the Ole Miss game notes, the Rebels have scored at least 28 in every game and topped 400 yards in all six. The run game has climbed every week since LSU: 63, 128, 196, 257. The defense has allowed 20 points over its last two games.

2. Keys: tempo (23.5 seconds a play, eighth in FBS), third and long (Texas 8 of 36 in its last three; Blake Purchase leads with 6.5 TFL and 3.5 sacks) and Kewan Lacy in the red zone (29 rushing TDs since 2025, second among FBS backs).

3. FanDuel, Thursday morning, Oct. 22: Texas -3.5, total 54.5, 88% of the money on Ole Miss. Sunday: -3.5 and 55.5. Terez Davis and Brycen Sanders are questionable on the first availability report.

🦈 EVERYDAYER CLUB — ad-free plus the members-only room, 7-day free trial: https://lockedonolemiss.supercast.com
💬 LOOM PRIVATE DISCORD — free to join:   / discord  
🌐 EVERYTHING ELSE: https://olemisshub.com
🎧 EVERY PLATFORM: https://link.chtbl.com/LOOleMiss?sid=...

🧩 ODOO — One platform to manage, grow and scale your business. Try it free at https://odoo.com/lockedon
📈 KALSHI — Download Kalshi and use code LOCKEDON to get $25 when you trade $25. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory.
💼 INDEED — Get a $75 sponsored job credit at https://indeed.com/podcast. Terms and conditions apply.
🏈 FANDUEL — Visit https://fanduel.com to get started.

Locked On Ole Miss is part of the Locked On Podcast Network — your team, every day.

#OleMiss #HottyToddy #OleMissFootball #Texas #SEC #KewanLacy

FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)


Follow & Subscribe on all Podcast platforms…
🎧 https://link.chtbl.com/LOOleMiss?sid=...

Locked On College Conferences, HBCU, Basketball & More
🎧 https://linktr.ee/LockedOnCollege

#OleMiss #OleMissFootball #CollegeFootball