July 8: Financial Markets Pre-Market (Bear-Market Rally in Effect)
Автор: Chicago Quantum
Загружено: 2022-07-08
Просмотров: 309
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#Bear #stockstowatch #stockmarketcrash #market #analysis #news #stockmarket#portfolio #stockstobuy
It's July 8, 2022 the financial markets are in a bear-market rally. A Bear-Market rally is in effect and pushing up small cap stocks. Should be an exciting Friday.
I look at the markets this morning and they look optimistic. The US Dollar is strong, and we see green futures and potentially rising equities, commodities and bond yields.
This is not bullish for US stocks, nor is it bullish for fixed income, but at least someone is trying harder to make equities rise this morning.
People are running for the exits, and those exits are $30T in US Treasury Bonds, Notes and Bills.
We also have recessionary signals like the inversion of the yield curve, WTI crude oil and commodities dropping.
I am starting to get people asking me for financial advice. I realize that what we do here is not for the typical viewer, but for someone advanced and confident in the markets. We are teaching to the pros. Hope you enjoy it and learn a ton.
We do this pre-market so you can see what our model is picking, and you could, theoretically, paper trade or actually invest in these picks today. This is not investment advice, so please do your own due diligence and research before investing.
You have to watch the video for the picks, which we sometimes share.
By: Jeffrey Cohen, Investment Advisor Representative
US Advanced Computing Infrastructure, Inc.
For more information, visit our website for DAILY INSIGHTS here.
https://www.chicagoquantum.com/insigh...
Here is what we typically discuss:
Interest rates US Treasury yield curve
Fixed income: Corporate bonds
Crypto (specifically Bitcoin) levels in the morning. We also discuss it relative to the Euro / Dollar exchange rate and US Dollar strength.
Currency pairs against the US Dollar. For example, the Japanese Yen continues to weaken today.
The Mexican Peso continues to weaken, and is now over 20 pesos per dollar.
Pre-market equity movers, either by name or by industry sector. This helps see where the early morning bets are being placed.
Pre-market does not guarantee that markets will move in that direction when they open. This is because pre-market trading is on lower volume, and is more expensive to trade. It is often done for shock value, and to allow buys and sells before normal working hours.
We ran through most of our proprietary industry index lists in pre-market to see where the pre-market bets are being made. These are all economically sensitive sectors.
We walk through a high-beta list, a downtrodden list, and a recent CQNS Most Efficient portfolio.
Our daily mantra in this market is FOMO is a cost effective strategy.
Wait before buying stocks in companies where the stocks have already fallen significantly. We call them 'the downtrodden' and our tagline is FOMO is a cost effective strategy in this market. Stocks that are lower now will likely be lower in a week or two. We have been saying this for 12 weeks, and it is still true.
Global equity markets are reviewed, especially Asia overnight and Europe in the morning.
The VIX is looked at. Today we discussed how to better understand the VIX (divide by 19.1 to see the 2 x standard deviation levels it represents, or is priced at).
We usually pick a hand full of stocks to discuss.
Today's views:
News today:
US dollar hits a high today, climbing steadily.
WHEN THE US DOLLAR RISES, THE US EQUITY MARKET TENDS TO FALL
Indian Rupee hits a record low today
EuroDollar hits 1.0299 in pre-market 071445ET
USD / CAD 1.2940
USD/JPY 136.08
US Equity Futures are down, but they were up last night.
Commodities.
Copper down
Silver and Gold up slightly
Oil, heating oil, Natural Gas, Gasoline all down slightly this morning (0% to 1%)
US Treasury Bonds and Notes are down slightly, rates are up slightly.
Inversion play.
VIX up slightly, but still below 30 at 28.10
BTC Bitcoin down this morning below support level of $20k
Recession fears in the news.
MARKET BREADTH STILL NEGATIVE, INDICES DOWN.
Low conviction day in the markets this morning, but the trend is definitely bearish.
S&P 500 Has a cup and handle pattern that is bearish.
Hope you found this BLOG post enjoyable.
If you like it, and the video, please click the YouTube subscribe button and also sign up for our mailing list. Thank you for reading.
Not investment advice, you get investment advice when you become a paying client.
GLTA!
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