Why China's Aging Faster Than It's Getting Rich
Автор: Archive Capital
Загружено: 2026-02-08
Просмотров: 14662
Описание:
Japan got rich before getting old. South Korea's doing the same. China didn't have time.
When Japan's population peaked in 2008, GDP per capita was $38,000. South Korea will hit population peak in the 2030s at around $45,000 per capita. China peaked in 2021 at just $12,500—one-third of Japan's level.
This isn't about size. It's about sequence. Rich countries aged AFTER building welfare states, financial markets, and high-productivity economies. China is aging WHILE still building these institutions—a race between demographic decline and economic development.
The question: Will China get rich before old age becomes economically crippling?
🎬 THREE QUESTIONS WE'LL ANSWER:
0:00 = How did China end up aging before it got rich?
4:47 = What choices in the 1980s created today's constraints?
6:38 = What does this timing mismatch mean for the next 30 years?
📊 THE NUMBERS:
Japan: $38k per capita at population peak (2008)
South Korea: $45k per capita projected (2030s)
China: $12.5k per capita at peak (2021)
China's elderly: 23% of population (2025) → 30% by 2040
💡 KEY INSIGHT: Demographics isn't destiny—but timing is everything.
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💬 What do you think? Comment below
#China #Economy #AgingPopulation
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