Pakistan Budget Deficit Target 2025-26 | Can 3.9% GDP Work?

Описание: Pakistan Budget Deficit Target 2025-26 | Can 3.9% GDP Work?


Pakistan’s federal budget for 2025–26 sets an ambitious target:
📌 Budget Deficit only 3.9% of GDP
📌 Total financing needs capped at 5 trillion rupees

But the big question is — Is this target realistic, or just another number on paper?

In this in-depth economic breakdown, we analyze whether Pakistan can truly meet a 3.9% deficit target amid rising debt repayments, declining revenues, and increasing expenditure pressures.

What We Cover in This Video:

✔ Why the government is aiming for a 3.9% deficit
✔ Comparison with previous years’ budget deficits
✔ Expected revenue collection and FBR performance
✔ Federal and provincial expenditure breakdown
✔ Debt servicing burden crossing 7 trillion rupees
✔ Defence, development, subsidies and pensions allocations
✔ IMF expectations and conditions for 2025–26
✔ Will the government stay within the 5 trillion financing limit?

We also break down the major risks that could push the deficit higher:
– Lower-than-expected tax revenues
– Rising circular debt and energy subsidies
– Currency depreciation pressures
– High-interest payments
– Provincial underperformance

Why This Matters

A lower deficit means:
– Less borrowing
– More currency stability
– More space for development spending
– Higher chances of IMF support

But if the deficit crosses the target, Pakistan may face:
– Higher inflation
– More borrowing from banks
– Pressure on the rupee
– Larger future deficits

Final Verdict

Can Pakistan realistically achieve a 3.9% GDP deficit in FY 2025–26?
This video provides the full picture with charts, comparisons, and expert insights.

Share your thoughts in the comments!
— Will the government meet the target or miss it again?


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📌 Timestamps

00:00 – Introduction
00:25 – What Is the 3.9% Budget Deficit Target?
01:10 – Government Revenue & FBR Targets
02:05 – Total Expenditure Breakdown
03:20 – Debt Servicing Pressure
04:15 – IMF Conditions & Fiscal Discipline
05:05 – Risks to Meeting the 3.9% Target
06:10 – Can Pakistan Stay Within 5 Trillion Financing?
07:05 – Final Verdict
07:40 – Conclusion & Call to Action


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