Why Bitcoin Didn’t Go Parabolic (And What Comes Next) | Rational Root

Описание: Is Bitcoin in a bear market? When will we hit the bottom? Walker sits down with Bitcoin analyst Rational Root for a deep dive into Bitcoin’s current market structure, bear market vibes, and why this cycle has felt so different, and whether the four-year cycle is still intact. Root argues Bitcoin is in a bear market phase, explains why institutional adoption and ETF flows created a more distributed top instead of a classic parabolic blow-off, and lays out why the next few months may look more like bottom formation than immediate breakout. They discuss the role of long-term holder distribution, why 100k became such a major psychological level, how business cycles and halving cycles interact, and why Bitcoin remains massively bullish long term even if price chops lower in the near term.

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*Five key topics we discuss*
Why Rational Root believes Bitcoin is currently in a bear market, not just a mid-cycle dip
How ETF flows, OTC buying, and institutional adoption changed this cycle’s price action
Why 100k became a major psychological sell zone for long-term holders and OG whales
Whether the four-year cycle is still alive, and how much of it is really driven by the broader business/liquidity cycle
Why Root remains extremely bullish long term even while expecting more chop and possible downside in the near term

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CHAPTERS:
00:00 TRAILER: A Bitcoin Bear Market?
01:54 Current Vibe Check on Bitcoin
11:14 ETF Holdings and Institutional Adoption
17:17 The Diminishing Returns of Bitcoin
22:14 ETFs and Retail Demand
27:30 Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycles
36:23 Comparing Bitcoin to Prior Cycles
41:37 Diminishing Returns and Gold’s Price Action
50:41 What a Broken Bitcoin Spiral Looks Like
57:54 Measuring Bitcoin in Fiat
1:04:24 DCAing into Bitcoin

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