When Bitcoin Gets This Oversold, Buy Signal Follows
Автор: Swan Bitcoin
Загружено: 2026-02-20
Просмотров: 5359
Описание:
Bitcoin is down roughly 50% from its all-time high, and sentiment is collapsing. But what does historical data say about buying Bitcoin during deep drawdowns? In this episode, Adam Livingston breaks down RSI, 200-day moving average deviation, Sharpe ratio regimes, and forward return distributions to analyze whether this oversold Bitcoin setup has historically been a high-probability entry zone. A data-driven framework for long-term Bitcoin investors navigating volatility, capitulation, and macro uncertainty.
Timestamps
00:00 Is Bitcoin Oversold? Setting the Stage
02:10 RSI Explained: Daily vs Weekly Oversold Signals
05:03 What Oversold Looked Like in 2022 + The Case for DCA
06:12 200-Day Moving Average: How Far Below Trend Are We?
09:12 Risk vs Reward: Using the Sharpe Ratio to Judge the Ride
12:00 The Big Test: What Happens After 45–50% Drawdowns?
13:19 Why Deep Fear Can Mean Opportunity
16:02 Final Takeaways, Bullish Thesis & Outro
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