The Systemic Market Risk Investors Won’t See Until It Breaks w Mike Green

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Mike Green of Simplify Asset Management explains why the real risk in today’s markets isn’t something obvious like the Fed, inflation, or tariffs. Passive investment flows have quietly changed how markets function beneath the surface and have created a major systemic risk.

We explore why markets can appear stable while becoming increasingly fragile, why regulators are unable to act, and what this means for investors thinking about risk, liquidity, and capital preservation.

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Chapters
00:00 Impending Market Crash and Regulatory Capture
01:12 Introduction and Meta Game in Investing
01:58 Impact of Passive Investing on Market Information
04:32 Signals and Risks of Market Breakdown
07:13 Terminal Decay and Passive Investing Thresholds
08:48 Individual Actions vs Societal Systemic Risk
11:57 Systemic Issues Affecting Gold and Commodities
14:06 Global Multipolarity and Currency Diversification
19:06 Competition, Globalization, and Economic Fragility
23:42 Demographic Shifts and Commodity Demand
31:19 Affordability Crisis and Inflation Impact
36:13 Populism, Efficiency, and Fragility in Governance
38:30 Paradox of Thrift and Gold as a Social Asset
39:10 Volatility's Role in the American Dream
41:38 AI as Productization of Services and Knowledge
46:04 Federal Reserve's Limited Influence Explained
49:06 Sovereign Debt, Currency, and Inflation Dynamics
53:09 Health and Longevity Revolution's Economic Impact
57:26 Importance of Having a Model for Gold's Value