Oil Breakout or Fakeout? OPEC vs IEA Sparks a Tug-of-War

Описание: Oil opened the week with a gap higher—but is it durable? In this update, David Jones breaks down why crude has been range-bound for months, the OPEC production stance, and the IEA’s surplus outlook. We walk through my open short from 61.86, the risk controls, and the exact levels I’m watching: resistance near 62.50 and potential downside toward 59.50 and 56. Plus, a quick natural gas check-in. Watch for the technicals, stay for the trade plan.

0:00 – Gap higher to start the week
0:25 – Why oil’s been dull: volatility without trend
0:45 – Sideways range recap (since March)
1:15 – OPEC restraint vs IEA surplus: who’s right?
1:55 – Open positions: short from 61.86, stop to breakeven
2:35 – Natural gas trade update
2:55 – Chart tour: 6–8 month range, lack of direction
3:35 – Big picture since 2021/2022 highs
4:05 – Short bias: buyers fade near low-60s
4:35 – Key levels: 62.50 resistance, 59.50/56 downside
5:05 – Alternate bullish setup & stop ideas
5:35 – Wrap-up, subscribe & Telegram link

Sources:
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil...
https://www.reuters.com/business/ener...

***
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.

79.58% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.

You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

The material presented in this video is not intended for UK audiences.

This material is intended for informational purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the products or securities to which it applies. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided.

The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance.

To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Capital.com (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk.

Any information which could be construed as “investment research” has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.

Capital Com SV Investments Limited (“CCSV”) is registered in Cyprus with company registration number 354252. CCSV is regulated by Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) under licence number 319/17. Capital Com Australia Pty Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) under AFSL Number 513393. Capital Com Online Investments Ltd is a limited liability company (company number 209236B) registered in the Commonwealth of The Bahamas and authorised to carry on Securities Business by the Securities Commission of The Bahamas (“SCB”) with licence number SIA-F245. Capital Com Mena Securities Trading LLC is authorised and regulated by the Securities and Commodities Authority (SCA), under licence number 20200000176.