Someone Bought $13.4M in Nvidia Puts. They All Expire Before Earnings

Описание: Options trading and stock market news: someone bought $13.4 million in Nvidia puts on Friday, all expiring before the August 26 earnings report. Chris Vecchio says this is not disaster protection. The puts are clustered 3 to 7% below spot, basically positioning for a short-term breakdown through a loaded week: CPI tomorrow, ASML Wednesday, TSMC Thursday. Nvidia's forward PE has fallen back to pre-AI levels at 18.7 times, cheap by Mag Seven standards. The key signal to watch: if open interest jumps tomorrow at these strikes, these are fresh bears. If it stays flat, they are just rolls and hedges.

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Chapters
00:00 Nvidia is today's name: forward PE back to pre-AI levels
00:33 Correlation below 4%, stocks moving independently
00:41 Morgan Stanley top pick at 288, 38% upside implied
01:14 $13.4M in puts, all before earnings, clustered near spot
01:46 Four trades covering 3 to 7% below the Friday close
02:26 30,700 volume vs 3,100 open interest: watch tomorrow
02:51 CPI tomorrow, ASML Wednesday, TSMC Thursday
03:11 Not a fundamental short, just near-term protection
03:51 Mike's calendar spreads in Nvidia are quietly working
04:38 One bad CPI or earnings miss crushes the space
04:49 Chris's simple framework: OI jumps and below 200 means bear signal
05:30 Nvidia opens down two to three points from Friday's highs
06:05 So much can happen before Nvidia reports in late August

#tastylive #nvidia #optionsflow #signalvsnoise #cpi #asml #tsmc #optionstrading #putbuying #tastytrade

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