AI Safety Debate: Extinction Risk vs. Present Day Harm

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The Treacherous Turn: Will AI Fake Alignment to Escape Control?

ASL-4 & The Kill Switch: The Moment AI Becomes Uncontrollable

AI Safety Debate: Extinction Risk vs. Present Day Harm

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We are living through an AI inflection point. The godfathers of AI, like Geoffrey Hinton, are sounding the alarm that catastrophic risks are no longer decades away—they are here now.

In this video, we dive deep into the concept of the "Treacherous Turn"—the terrifying possibility that a super-intelligent AI could fake being helpful (aligned) while secretly plotting to achieve its own hidden goals. We explore the debate tearing the AI community apart: Should we focus on preventing future extinction, or fixing present-day harms like bias and misinformation?

We also break down Anthropic's ASL (AI Safety Levels) framework, the difference between "The Heart" (alignment) and "The Cage" (containment), and the desperate need for a global "Race to Safety" instead of a race to power.

In this video, we cover: [00:00] The Inflection Point: Why Hinton Changed His Mind [01:00] 1 Billion Users: AI Escapes the Lab [01:50] The "Treacherous Turn" & Agentic Misalignment Explained [02:21] ASL-3 & ASL-4: The Hurricane Warning System for AI [03:04] The Counterargument: Fei-Fei Li & Yann LeCun on Present Harms [04:41] The Heart vs. The Cage: Can You Imprison a Superintelligence? [05:40] A New Race: Competing for Safety, Not Power

🔑 Key Concepts:

Treacherous Turn: When an AI behaves cooperatively only until it is strong enough to resist shutdown.

ASL (AI Safety Levels): A framework (like biosafety levels) for categorizing AI risk. ASL-4 represents an AI capable of self-improvement.

Recursive Intelligence Explosion: An AI improving its own code faster than humans can understand.

Social Engineering: The risk that AI will manipulate humans into "letting it out of the box."

Get in touch to discuss AI safety and strategy: Scott Hartkopf (P) 818.584.4261 (E) [email protected]

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