Coming Wave Of Distressed Sellers To Tank Home Prices Worse Than The GFC | Melody Wright

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The last time housing analyst Melody Wright was on this program, she warned that home prices could fall by up to 50% in certain markets over the next few years as the housing market experiences a national correction.

Does she still feel that way?

Yes.

And she thinks the pace of contagion is accelerating as the correction spreads to more & more states.

She’s now warning of a coming wave of distressed sellers that will really start to speed things up.

To find out details why, watch this video.

#housingmarket #homeprices #realestate

0:00 Distressed Sellers and Market Correction Overview
0:37 Responding to Blowback on Price Drop Prediction
2:00 Clarification on Long-Term Correction Timeline
3:25 Belief in Stark Corrections Due to Interventions
4:27 Confirmation Correction Worse Than GFC
4:57 Median Income Affording Median Home Clarification
5:20 Defining Affordable: 3x Median Income
6:36 Impact of Rising Ownership Costs on Multiple
7:21 Returning to 3x Ratio in Most Markets
8:09 Demographics and Silver Tsunami
8:17 Increases in Deceased Property Owners
9:18 Boomer Die-Off Wave Changing Low Inventory Markets
9:24 Low Owner Occupancy in Northeast Cities
9:52 Boomers as Landlord Class Owning Multiple Properties
10:24 Aging Boomers Selling Rentals Practically
11:04 Heirs Selling 70% of Inherited Properties
11:29 Nick Gerli's Demand Index Showing Historic Lows
13:06 Observing Similar Low Demand Trends
14:39 Rates Not the Only Story; Youth Unemployment Issues
15:27 Shadow Market and Off-MLS Transactions
17:13 Organization of Shadow Market Around Hedge Funds
18:04 Sub2 Deals and Investor Walk-Aways
21:37 Prices in Shadow Market Often Undisclosed or Inflated
30:22 Lower Rates Not the Solution; Need Inventory and Prices
34:51 Rents Disinflating Due to Overbuilding
37:06 Low Demand Pushed by Cheaper Rents
38:26 How Realtors Are Surviving Low Transactions
43:37 Optimism in the Housing Story Post-Correction
46:02 Advice for Aspiring Buyers and Sellers
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