Ep 333 | What's Wall Street expecting in 2026? | Craigs On Point | Mark Lister podcast

Описание: Ep 333 | What's Wall Street expecting in 2026?
On Point with Craig's Investment Partners

In this week’s episode, Mark Lister, Investment Director at Craig’s Investment Partners, looks at what Wall Street is predicting for US sharemarkets in 2026. With forecast targets for the S&P 500 ranging widely, Mark explains why year-end predictions attract attention, how they compare with long-term market history, and why investors should treat them with caution.

He explores the difference between recent returns and long-term averages, why markets rarely deliver “average” outcomes in any given year, and what decades of market data tell us about volatility, down years, and outsized gains. Mark also explains why strategist forecasts are better viewed as broad guides rather than precise tools, and how investors should actually use them in practice.

Here’s what’s covered:
What Wall Street is forecasting for the S&P 500 in 2026
How wide the range of predictions really is
Recent US market performance vs long-term history
Average returns and why markets rarely deliver them
How often US shares fall and how often they surge
Why forecasts are more marketing than precision
How investors should interpret year-end targets
Why long-term discipline matters more than short-term predictions

Chapters / Timestamps:
00:00 – Intro and disclaimer
00:46 – Show overview and episode context
01:18 – Wall Street forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2026
02:05 – How big the forecast range really is
03:05 – Recent returns vs long-term market history
04:05 – Why 'average' returns rarely happen
04:55 – Down years, big gains, and historical patterns
05:45 – Why forecasts are great for PR, not precision
06:15 – How investors should actually use forecasts
06:40 – Wrap up and key takeaways

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