Modelling the Age and Sex Patterns of Net International Migration - Professor James Raymer

Описание: This CPC-CG/S3Ri webinar took place on Thursday 25 April at 14:00 UK Time. Professor James Raymer of the Australian National University presented, "Modelling the Age and Sex Patterns of Net International Migration".

Title: Modelling the Age and Sex Patterns of Net International Migration

Abstract: In this study, we test and apply a methodology to infer the age and sex profiles of net migration. Age and sex profiles of net migration are required as inputs into demographic accounting models for population estimation and projection. However, most countries in the world do not directly measure migration and residual methods for inferring age and sex patterns have proven inadequate, due to errors in the measures of populations, births and deaths. Since net migration rarely exhibits regularities across age and sex, we develop a strategy to first estimate flows of immigration and emigration by age and sex. Differences from these flow estimates represent our estimates of net international migration by age and sex. Based on promising results from empirical tests that used data from Sweden and the Republic of Korea, the methodology is extended to estimate age-sex patterns of net international migration for countries lacking migration data.

Speaker: Professor James Raymer is Professor of Demography at the Australian National University. His research focuses on the study of demographic processes, and he is especially interested in how migration influences population change. He has engaged in many interdisciplinary and international research collaborations on topics ranging from statistical estimation of migration to population forecasting.

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