Spot Crashed to $85… But Physical Is $190?! The Market Split No One Is Explaining

Описание: If you feel like the market makes no sense right now, you’re not imagining it. In a stunning move, spot prices just collapsed to $85 while the physical market is still trading near $190. That is not a normal pullback — that is a historic market split between paper pricing and real-world supply. This isn’t just volatility… this is a structural fracture.

In this urgent market breakdown, we dissect why the 2026 collapse is fundamentally different from past corrections. We explain how a paper-driven “Price Vacuum” can force spot down while real inventory tightens, and why dealers are raising premiums instead of discounting metal. We analyze the growing Paper vs Physical Divergence, what it signals about stress in the system, and why this type of disconnect has historically appeared before major repricing events.

We also examine why institutional liquidity conditions, derivatives positioning, and shrinking above-ground supply are creating a two-tier market — one price for screens, another for actual delivery. This is not just a dip. This is a market split that most analysts are not prepared to talk about.

The spread between $85 and $190 is the signal. The question is what happens when those two worlds collide.

In this video, we cover:

The Price Vacuum: How heavy paper selling can crash spot prices even while real-world demand stays strong.
Paper vs Physical Split: Why dealers are charging higher premiums during a “price crash.”
The Inventory Squeeze: Signs that available supply is tightening despite falling spot prices.
The Two-Tier Market: How futures pricing and physical pricing can temporarily detach.
The Repricing Risk: What historically happens when the paper market loses control of physical supply.
2026 Market Outlook: Key levels, potential scenarios, and what could close the $85 vs $190 gap.

Sources & References:

Futures vs Physical Pricing (Investopedia)
Overview of how commodity futures prices can diverge from physical market conditions during periods of stress.

Market Liquidity & Price Dislocations (CME Group Education)
How thin liquidity and leveraged positioning can amplify price swings beyond fundamental value.

Commodity Premiums Explained (Bullion Industry Guides)
Why retail and wholesale premiums rise when supply chains tighten.

Backwardation & Market Stress (Financial Times / Commodity Analysis)
How unusual price structures can signal underlying strain in physical markets.

DISCLAIMER:
The content in this video is for educational and informational purposes only and reflects personal market analysis and opinion. It should not be considered financial or investment advice. Commodity and precious metals markets are volatile and involve significant risk. Market scenarios discussed may include a mix of historical patterns, current mechanics, and forward-looking analysis based on present conditions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. I am not responsible for any financial losses resulting from actions taken based on this content.

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