Tom Lee: The Dark Truth About What's REALLY Happening With Crypto (New 2026 Prediction)

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Tom Lee 2026 Crypto Prediction | Is the 4 Year Bitcoin Cycle Dead | Bitcoin and Ethereum Outlook

Is the 4 year crypto cycle officially over? Tom Lee, Wall Street veteran and head of research at Fundstrat, says this cycle looks nothing like the ones before it and that changes everything for Bitcoin and Ethereum heading into 2026.

In this video we break down Tom Lee's full analysis of why the traditional four year Bitcoin cycle thesis may be wrong, what the October 10th liquidation event actually meant for market structure, why Wall Street still underestimates blockchain native companies, and what all of this means for crypto prices through the rest of 2026.

Tom Lee points to onchain data that does not match previous cycle tops. Ethereum active addresses are accelerating. Daily transactions are rising. Total value locked is climbing. None of that lines up with historical peak behavior.

He also highlights that the ISM manufacturing index has remained below 50 for 36 consecutive months, the longest stretch in over a century, and no Bitcoin cycle has ever peaked without ISM peaking first.

We also cover why the October deleveraging event may have front loaded the entire reset phase a full year early, how Tether's profit model exposes the structural advantage blockchain native companies have over traditional banks, why gold and silver momentum has temporarily pulled capital away from crypto, and how incoming crypto regulation could either unlock trillions in institutional capital or risk favoring incumbents over new entrants.

If Tom Lee is right, the market is not following the old script. The upside window may be open far longer than consensus expects and 2026 could look nothing like a typical post halving slowdown.

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This video is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.

#bitcoin #Crypto #Investing

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