REC & PFC Ready to Rally? Morgan Stanley Turns Bullish!
Автор: Money Roots
Загружено: 2025-07-11
Просмотров: 6059
Описание:
Morgan Stanley, a global brokerage firm, has initiated coverage on two Indian power sector financing PSUs: REC Ltd. and Power Finance Corporation Ltd. (PFC), with an ‘Overweight’ rating, signaling bullishness on both.
🔹 Price Targets:
• REC: ₹485
• PFC: ₹508
This implies a potential upside of 23% (REC) and 21% (PFC) from current market prices.
🔹 Background:
• In 2023 and early 2024, these stocks witnessed strong investor interest.
• However, in the last 9 months, they have fallen out of favour.
• Over the past 12 months, REC and PFC shares have corrected 24%–35%, whereas Sensex gained 4.7%.
🔹 Morgan Stanley’s Outlook:
• Attractive Risk-Reward both in absolute terms and relative to other NBFCs.
• Expect:
• Loan growth in the low teens (10–13%)
• Return on equity (ROE) in the high teens (16–19%)
• Dividend yield of 3.8% to 4.5% (assuming 30% payout ratio)
🔹 Valuation:
• At 5–6x FY27 estimated P/E, the stocks appear undervalued, pricing in structural concerns.
• Strong asset quality and possible gains from bad loan recoveries.
• Potential to outperform retail NBFCs in coming quarters.
🔹 Key Catalysts:
• Relative financial outperformance vs other NBFCs.
• Better asset quality
• Possibility of loan growth picking up
• Broader PSU rally as a tailwind
🔹 Risks Highlighted:
• Loan growth may slow to single digits
• Rising competition from banks
🔹 Consensus:
• All 13 analysts tracking REC and PFC have a Buy rating.
🔹 2025 YTD Performance:
• REC shares: down 23%
• PFC shares: down 7%
• Still 40% (REC) and 28% (PFC) below their respective all-time highs.
Morgan Stanley has turned bullish on REC & PFC - are you ready to rally? Check out this brokerage report for the latest news and price targets on these stocks! #recshare #pfcshare #brokeragereport #rally
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