SpaceX's $1.75T Billion Valuation Has Nothing To Do With The Internet

Описание: SpaceX is valued at $1.75 trillion. Its internet business barely breaks even. So where is the money actually coming from?

We ran the numbers — the satellites lose money, the dishes are sold below cost, and 5 million subscribers at $120 a month only recently clawed to break-even. The real cash flow is somewhere most people never look: roughly $22 billion in U.S. government contracts, a classified military satellite network called Starshield, and agreements that have no cancel button on a website.

This is not a broadband story. It is a political asset story — and the entire $1.75 trillion fortune rests on one man's relationship with the governments that fund it.

In this episode we break down:
— The actual economics of the satellite constellation, and why vertical integration doesn't make it profitable
— How Starshield grew from a $70 million pilot to billions in under two years
— Why Ukraine changed how governments think about Starlink forever
— The single biggest risk to the entire valuation (it is not Amazon Kuiper)

The question is not whether Starlink can beat its competitors on speed or price. The question is whether one man can hold the keys to a nation's communications infrastructure without becoming a liability.

We already ran the numbers.

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CHAPTERS
0:00 The satellites lose money
0:39 What you're actually buying
2:30 The consumer math
3:48 Starshield: the contracts you never see
4:20 The hidden number: ~$22 billion
5:58 Who actually pays
6:41 The risk: political goodwill
7:17 One call. One war.
8:02 The competition
9:01 Too big to fire — the smart-money hedge
10:22 What you're really buying
10:52 Buy in, or walk?
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