Why Does Price Move? Auction Market Theory and Market Profile, Part 1

Описание: Why does price move if every trade has a buyer and a seller? Auction market theory answers that question, and once you see it, you will read a chart as an auction instead of a row of candles.

Education only, not financial advice. Futures trading carries substantial risk of loss. Every chart in this video is a constructed teaching example, not a real trade.

In Part 1 of this three-part series, you will learn:
Why heavy buying does not always lift price
How POC, VAH and VAL are built, and why the 70 percent value area is not a probability
How to tell acceptance from rejection when price leaves value
Whether the famous 80 percent rule holds up when you test it
Two Micro Nasdaq (MNQ) trade plans with defined risk, and when to pass

Chapters
0:00 If every trade has a buyer, why does price move?
1:03 Urgency meets liquidity
2:12 Skipped prices and slippage
3:01 The auction cycle: balance, exploration, acceptance
4:08 Same candle, different auction
4:58 TPO vs volume profile
6:05 POC, VAH and VAL explained
7:08 High and low volume nodes
8:05 How value migrates
9:48 Acceptance or rejection
11:04 Responsive vs initiative
11:43 Failed auctions
12:42 Does the 80 percent rule hold up?
13:47 Two MNQ examples, start to finish
16:00 When to pass on a trade
16:55 Recap and what comes next

Coming in the series
Part 2: order flow, delta, absorption and stops
Part 3: the open, the initial balance and day structure
Subscribe so you do not miss them, and tell me in the comments which one you want first.

Sources
MNQ contract specifications (CME Group): https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equi...
The 80 percent rule and a public test (NexusFi): https://nexusfi.com/a/concepts/80-per...
Value migration (LuxAlgo Library): https://www.luxalgo.com/library/conce...
Price advertises, time regulates, volume measures (James Dalton, via Marketcalls): https://www.marketcalls.in/market-pro...

Disclosures
I am not registered with the CFTC, NFA, SEC or FINRA. This video is for education only and is not investment or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. All prices shown are constructed examples. Past results do not guarantee future results. The presenter is an AI avatar of me with my cloned voice; the script and the teaching are my own. I will never message you first or ask you to invest.

#AuctionMarketTheory #MarketProfile #MNQ