2024 YR4: The asteroid that could impact the Moon in 2032

Описание: 2024 YR4: The asteroid that could impact the Moon in 2032

During a few weeks at the beginning of 2025, the name 2024 YR4 became an absolute protagonist among the main institutions of the entire planet. This object, with an estimated size between 40 and 60 meters, reached level 3 on the Torino scale, which implies a probability of collision greater than 1%. This could result in devastating local damage.

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If you like this content, do not forget to subscribe and give like. Your support is fundamental to continue bringing up to date information about space and science. Fortunately, science has come to the conclusion that the Earth is safe from 2025 YR4. However, the story has not ended, as there is a probability that this asteroid will crash against the Moon, which raises new questions about its possible effects. The Centre for Near Object Studies to the Earth of NASA kept the breath contained at the start of 2025. The first observations also showed a worrying scenario for the year 1932, but after a more detailed analysis, it was determined that there would be no impact on Earth. The James Webb space telescope was key in this process. It began to observe the asteroid in May 2025. This visual phenomenon would be unprecedented and could attract the attention of astronomers and space enthusiasts around the world. The European Space Agency has validated this data, confirming the probability of 4% of an impact on the Moon. Still, there is a 96% that the asteroid passes without consequences. The appearance of 2024 YR4 has highlighted the need to improve space detection tools. Currently, many objects are hiding in the 'blind spot' of the solar glow, which makes it difficult to locate. ESA has decided to activate the NEOMIR mission to improve asteroid detection. If this mission had been active, it could have detected 2024 yR4 a month earlier, allowing for a faster reaction in case the threat was against the Earth. For now, we must wait. The asteroid has moved away and will not be in an optimal position for observation until 2028. It will then be when astronomers will be able to re-evaluate the likelihood of impact and its possible effect on the moon.