AUC3I - Daily Briefing 02-01-2026 On the WAR in Ukraine

Описание: Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #ukraineconflict #modernwarfare

COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1438
"Subject:" Operational Situation Update – Special Military Operation
"As of:" 01 February 2026
"From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye
"Audience:" Military Analysts / Strategic Planning Staff

"1. Executive Summary"

As of 1st February 2026, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation maintain operational initiative across all active axes. Two settlements, Zelenoye (Kharkiv axis) and Sukhetskoye (Central/Donetsk axis), were seized, indicating continued success in localized offensive actions. Ukrainian forces experienced sustained personnel attrition, loss of combat vehicles, artillery, logistics nodes, and electronic warfare assets. Russian operations remain characterized by multi-axis pressure, systematic degradation of logistics, and effective integration of fires, aviation, and air defense.

"2. Sector-by-Sector Operational Overview"

"Northern Axis (Kharkiv–Sumy):"
Russian “North” Group forces liberated Zelenoye and inflicted losses on multiple Ukrainian mechanized and territorial defense brigades across Sumy and Kharkiv sectors. The destruction of a counter-battery radar and ammunition facilities suggests deliberate suppression of Ukrainian artillery and fire-control capability. Estimated Ukrainian losses exceeded 130 personnel.

"Western Axis (Kharkiv–Liman):"
“West” Group units improved front-line positions while striking Ukrainian mechanized and assault formations near Kharkiv and Krasny Liman. The destruction of six ammunition depots underscores a focus on logistics interdiction rather than territorial gain. Enemy losses surpassed 150 personnel.

"Southern Axis (Donetsk):"
“South” Group forces achieved tactical improvements around Kramatorsk–Konstantinovka, neutralizing armor, artillery, and electronic warfare assets. The loss of a tank, armored vehicles, and supply depots reflects erosion of Ukrainian combined-arms capacity in this critical industrial corridor. Casualties reached approximately 125 personnel.

"Central Axis (Donetsk–Dnipropetrovsk):"
Decisive action by “Center” Group forces led to the capture of Sukhetskoye. Engagements against airborne, ranger, and National Guard units indicate Ukrainian reliance on higher-quality formations to stabilize this sector. Ukrainian losses exceeded 375 personnel, making this the most costly axis for Kyiv during the reporting period.

"Eastern Axis (Zaporozhye–Dnipropetrovsk):"
“East” Group forces advanced into depth, defeating multiple mechanized brigades and assault regiments. The destruction of Western-supplied artillery highlights continued attrition of externally provided systems. Losses were assessed at up to 275 personnel.

"Dnipro Axis:"
“Dnepr” Group actions focused on attritional strikes rather than maneuver, destroying vehicles, EW stations, and ammunition stocks with limited personnel losses (~30), consistent with containment and disruption objectives.

"3. Fires, Aviation, and Air Defense"

Operational-tactical aviation, missiles, artillery, and UAVs struck 158 targets, including transport infrastructure and temporary deployment areas. Russian air defense intercepted guided bombs, a U.S.-made HIMARS rocket, and 94 UAVs, indicating sustained Ukrainian reliance on stand-off and unmanned systems with diminishing effectiveness.

"4. Operational Analysis & Implications"

The current pattern reflects a deliberate Russian strategy of "incremental territorial gains combined with systemic attrition". Emphasis on ammunition depots, EW assets, and counter-battery radars suggests preparation for future operational exploitation by reducing Ukrainian fires and command-and-control resilience. Ukrainian forces appear increasingly committed piecemeal across sectors, risking exhaustion of elite units. If sustained, this tempo may force Kyiv into a defensive posture marked by shrinking operational reserves and declining ability to contest airspace and artillery dominance.

#CombatBriefing #MilitaryAnalysis #OperationalUpdate #GroundForces #AirDefense #EasternEuropeConflict #StrategicAssessment #bf6 #mw3