Advance UK’s 1st Election today : 2 elections in Amber Valley. Will they kill Reform UK momentum?

Описание: Can Advance UK Break the Reform UK Surge? Today's Election Analysis
​It is election day in the UK, and for the first time, Advance UK is putting its platform to the test in two council by-elections. I’m diving deep into today’s results to see if this new challenger can actually disrupt the momentum of Nigel Farage’s Reform UK.
​In this video, I break down:
​The 2-Seat Battleground: I look at the specific races today, including the high-stakes contest in the Horsley division of Derbyshire.
​The Candidate Face-off: I profile Alex Stevenson (Advance UK) as he goes head-to-head with Juliette Stevens (Reform UK). This is a crucial "litmus test" for which party truly owns the anti-establishment vote.
​The Spoiler Effect: I analyze whether Advance UK will act as a "spoiler" for Reform, potentially handing victories back to the Conservatives or Labour by splitting the right-wing vote.
​Reform UK’s National Dominance: With Reform UK polling near 30% and predicted to be the largest party in a general election, I examine if a "fracture of the right" could be their only undoing.
​Why I think this matters:
As we approach the May 2026 local elections, these small by-elections are the first real data points we have. I believe that if Advance UK can pull even 5–10% of the vote today, it signals a major headache for Reform UK’s path to a majority.

20jan26