Blockade started at 10 AM. Oil dropped $17. Nobody expected that.

Описание: Blockade started at 10 AM. Oil dropped $17. Nobody expected that.

Here’s the 30-second version of what actually happened.

Iran gave 5 countries a pass to keep shipping — India, China, Russia, Iraq, and Pakistan. The worst-case oil scenario got taken off the table. That is why oil fell instead of spiked.

Today’s live numbers:
Oil: $95.63 (down from $112)
10-yr yield: 4.317%
Avg 30-yr mortgage rate: 6.41%
Bond floor: holding — barely
But do not celebrate yet. Iran says it is ready for any option. China is not backing down. The UK refused to join the blockade. Inflation is at 3.3% — a 2-year high.
If you are buying a home right now — do NOT lock based on this morning alone. Watch where oil closes today. I will post the moment something material changes.

Comment UPDATE below and follow so you do not miss it.

John Abril | Real Estate and Lending, Simplified
johnabril.com | NMLS 280222 | DRE 01060119
#usainflation #MortgageRates #IranBlockade #HomeBuying2026 #OilPrices #InterestRates

BondMarket RealEstate2026 TheRealtorBroker LockOrFloat FirstTimeHomeBuyer MortgageBroker SoCalRealEstate InlandEmpire