Are We Heading Into A Recession? | With Aahan Menon

Описание: Markets are selling off, oil is spiking, and investors are asking: is a recession coming? Today on Talking Markets, Maggie Lake sits down with Aahan Menon, founder of Prometheus Research, to break down what the data is really saying about where markets are headed. Aahan shares how Prometheus's systematic approach is navigating the current turbulence, from bearish signals in US equities to the historic dislocation in energy markets. Plus, why the real opportunities right now may not be where most investors are looking. From global expected returns to how to position when markets fall apart, this is a conversation you don't want to miss...

You can find more on Aahan's work at: https://substack.com/@prometheusresearch

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Chapters:
00:00 – Markets Whipsaw on War Headlines
01:00 – Explaining the Massive Intraday Market Reversals
02:23 – Using Systematic Models to Trade Geopolitical Events
03:49 – The Oil Futures Curve Opportunity: Getting Paid to Own Energy
05:14 – Rare Backwardation in Oil and VIX Creates Hedge Opportunity
06:21 – A Portfolio Strategy to Hedge Stocks and Bonds With Energy and VIX
08:05 – Why This Hedge Improves Risk-Adjusted Returns vs a 60/40 Portfolio
09:24 – The Biggest Risk to the Energy-Volatility Hedge Trade
11:30 – How Oil Prices Could Feed Into Inflation and the Economy
13:31 – Is the U.S. Economy Actually Heading Toward a Recession?
15:16 – Why the Labor Market Looks Weak While GDP Stays Strong
17:43 – Best Global Investment Opportunities Outside the U.S.
19:05 – Why U.S. Stocks and Bonds Offer Lower Expected Returns
21:03 – Buying Cheap Assets: The Case for Global Bonds and Energy
24:05 – Inside the Prometheus Systematic Portfolio Strategy
27:05 – Managing Drawdowns and Protecting Portfolios in Volatile Markets

We know you get this, but gotta say it anyway - this show is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.

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